Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2024—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East supply disruptions has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation near the 2% target range. This development, alongside IMF and private-sector forecast revisions lifting the full-year outlook to approximately 2.5%, explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities between the 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% bands. The Bank of Korea's recent signals favoring potential rate hikes from July onward introduce additional uncertainty, as persistent energy pass-through effects compete with moderating domestic demand and government fuel-price measures. With outcomes spread across moderate and elevated scenarios, market pricing reflects balanced assessments of how geopolitical oil volatility and monetary-policy responses may shape the final 2026 print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 38.0%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
31%
2,1% a 2,3%
36%
2,4% a 2,6%
38%
2,7% a 2,9%
31%
3,0%+
28%
3,0%+ 43%
2,4% a 2,6% 38.0%
1,5% a 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.9%
$11,072 Vol.
$11,072 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1,5% a 1,7%
$959 Vol.
8%
1,8% a 2,0%
$108 Vol.
31%
2,1% a 2,3%
$159 Vol.
36%
2,4% a 2,6%
$145 Vol.
38%
2,7% a 2,9%
$139 Vol.
31%
3,0%+
$8,428 Vol.
28%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2024—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East supply disruptions has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation near the 2% target range. This development, alongside IMF and private-sector forecast revisions lifting the full-year outlook to approximately 2.5%, explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities between the 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% bands. The Bank of Korea's recent signals favoring potential rate hikes from July onward introduce additional uncertainty, as persistent energy pass-through effects compete with moderating domestic demand and government fuel-price measures. With outcomes spread across moderate and elevated scenarios, market pricing reflects balanced assessments of how geopolitical oil volatility and monetary-policy responses may shape the final 2026 print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,072Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2024—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East supply disruptions has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation near the 2% target range. This development, alongside IMF and private-sector forecast revisions lifting the full-year outlook to approximately 2.5%, explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities between the 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% bands. The Bank of Korea's recent signals favoring potential rate hikes from July onward introduce additional uncertainty, as persistent energy pass-through effects compete with moderating domestic demand and government fuel-price measures. With outcomes spread across moderate and elevated scenarios, market pricing reflects balanced assessments of how geopolitical oil volatility and monetary-policy responses may shape the final 2026 print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$11,072Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April consumer price data showing a 2.6% year-over-year rise—the highest since mid-2024—driven by elevated oil prices from Middle East supply disruptions has anchored trader expectations for South Korea's 2026 annual inflation near the 2% target range. This development, alongside IMF and private-sector forecast revisions lifting the full-year outlook to approximately 2.5%, explains the tight clustering of implied probabilities between the 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% bands. The Bank of Korea's recent signals favoring potential rate hikes from July onward introduce additional uncertainty, as persistent energy pass-through effects compete with moderating domestic demand and government fuel-price measures. With outcomes spread across moderate and elevated scenarios, market pricing reflects balanced assessments of how geopolitical oil volatility and monetary-policy responses may shape the final 2026 print.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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