**The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—surpassing *Avengers: Endgame*—sets the stage for its second weekend, with traders heavily favoring sub-$180 million at a 69.5% implied probability.** This reflects standard hold patterns for blockbuster openers, where even strong word-of-mouth (bolstered by 90% critic scores and rapid $1 billion global pace) typically yields 45-60% drops amid front-loaded audience behavior. Positive early holds from previews and Monday records support potential resilience near or above $150 million, but competition from holdovers like *The Odyssey* and typical sophomore-frame dynamics cap upside, keeping 220m+ at just 11%. The August 7-9 frame will test whether franchise momentum defies historical precedents for MCU tentpoles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 71%
200-210 millones 9%
220 millones+ 9%
210-220 millones 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<180m
71%
180-190 millones
7%
190-200m
7%
200-210 millones
9%
210-220 millones
8%
220 millones+
9%
<180m 71%
200-210 millones 9%
220 millones+ 9%
210-220 millones 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<180m
$2,434 Vol.
71%
180-190 millones
$489 Vol.
7%
190-200m
$489 Vol.
7%
200-210 millones
$555 Vol.
9%
210-220 millones
$734 Vol.
8%
220 millones+
$2,091 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—surpassing *Avengers: Endgame*—sets the stage for its second weekend, with traders heavily favoring sub-$180 million at a 69.5% implied probability.** This reflects standard hold patterns for blockbuster openers, where even strong word-of-mouth (bolstered by 90% critic scores and rapid $1 billion global pace) typically yields 45-60% drops amid front-loaded audience behavior. Positive early holds from previews and Monday records support potential resilience near or above $150 million, but competition from holdovers like *The Odyssey* and typical sophomore-frame dynamics cap upside, keeping 220m+ at just 11%. The August 7-9 frame will test whether franchise momentum defies historical precedents for MCU tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$6,791Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—surpassing *Avengers: Endgame*—sets the stage for its second weekend, with traders heavily favoring sub-$180 million at a 69.5% implied probability.** This reflects standard hold patterns for blockbuster openers, where even strong word-of-mouth (bolstered by 90% critic scores and rapid $1 billion global pace) typically yields 45-60% drops amid front-loaded audience behavior. Positive early holds from previews and Monday records support potential resilience near or above $150 million, but competition from holdovers like *The Odyssey* and typical sophomore-frame dynamics cap upside, keeping 220m+ at just 11%. The August 7-9 frame will test whether franchise momentum defies historical precedents for MCU tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$6,791Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—surpassing *Avengers: Endgame*—sets the stage for its second weekend, with traders heavily favoring sub-$180 million at a 69.5% implied probability.** This reflects standard hold patterns for blockbuster openers, where even strong word-of-mouth (bolstered by 90% critic scores and rapid $1 billion global pace) typically yields 45-60% drops amid front-loaded audience behavior. Positive early holds from previews and Monday records support potential resilience near or above $150 million, but competition from holdovers like *The Odyssey* and typical sophomore-frame dynamics cap upside, keeping 220m+ at just 11%. The August 7-9 frame will test whether franchise momentum defies historical precedents for MCU tentpoles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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