**Strong holds and sustained audience interest position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for another robust sixth-weekend performance above $15 million.** The Tom Holland-led Marvel film opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July and has maintained the top spot through its fifth weekend with $22.5 million, reflecting a 42% drop that aligns with its 2.5x legs to date. Cumulative domestic gross has reached approximately $896 million amid minimal late-summer competition and strong word-of-mouth. Traders see these factors—combined with the film’s unprecedented pace toward $900 million-plus domestically—driving consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 86.5% implied probability, while smaller brackets reflect only modest downside risk from typical seasonal softening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del sexto fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"
15M+ 86%
14-15 millones 13%
13-14 millones 4.3%
12-13 millones 1.5%
<11m
1%
11-12 millones
1%
12-13 millones
2%
13-14 millones
4%
14-15 millones
13%
15M+
86%
15M+ 86%
14-15 millones 13%
13-14 millones 4.3%
12-13 millones 1.5%
<11m
1%
11-12 millones
1%
12-13 millones
2%
13-14 millones
4%
14-15 millones
13%
15M+
86%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong holds and sustained audience interest position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for another robust sixth-weekend performance above $15 million.** The Tom Holland-led Marvel film opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July and has maintained the top spot through its fifth weekend with $22.5 million, reflecting a 42% drop that aligns with its 2.5x legs to date. Cumulative domestic gross has reached approximately $896 million amid minimal late-summer competition and strong word-of-mouth. Traders see these factors—combined with the film’s unprecedented pace toward $900 million-plus domestically—driving consensus around the 15m+ outcome at 86.5% implied probability, while smaller brackets reflect only modest downside risk from typical seasonal softening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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