Record $72 million in previews has driven intense trader interest in Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic opening weekend, positioning the Tom Holland-led sequel for a potential top-two launch behind Avengers: Endgame. Strong presales, glowing reviews (91% on Rotten Tomatoes), and international records fuel momentum toward the $280–300 million range, while studio tracking remains more conservative. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 360–400 million buckets reflects uncertainty over how much the massive early momentum will carry through the full three-day frame versus historical superhero caps and competition. Upcoming Friday actuals and daily updates will likely sharpen the picture ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Inauguración de la taquilla del fin de semana (huelgas aún más altas)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Inauguración de la taquilla del fin de semana (huelgas aún más altas)
370-380m 50%
390-400m 50%
400-410m 50%
350-360m 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
<350m
21%
350-360m
49%
360-370m
48%
370-380m
50%
380-390m
49%
390-400m
50%
400-410m
50%
410-420m
36%
420m+
21%
370-380m 50%
390-400m 50%
400-410m 50%
350-360m 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
<350m
$0 Vol.
21%
350-360m
$0 Vol.
49%
360-370m
$0 Vol.
48%
370-380m
$0 Vol.
50%
380-390m
$0 Vol.
49%
390-400m
$0 Vol.
50%
400-410m
$0 Vol.
50%
410-420m
$0 Vol.
36%
420m+
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $72 million in previews has driven intense trader interest in Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic opening weekend, positioning the Tom Holland-led sequel for a potential top-two launch behind Avengers: Endgame. Strong presales, glowing reviews (91% on Rotten Tomatoes), and international records fuel momentum toward the $280–300 million range, while studio tracking remains more conservative. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 360–400 million buckets reflects uncertainty over how much the massive early momentum will carry through the full three-day frame versus historical superhero caps and competition. Upcoming Friday actuals and daily updates will likely sharpen the picture ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $72 million in previews has driven intense trader interest in Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic opening weekend, positioning the Tom Holland-led sequel for a potential top-two launch behind Avengers: Endgame. Strong presales, glowing reviews (91% on Rotten Tomatoes), and international records fuel momentum toward the $280–300 million range, while studio tracking remains more conservative. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 360–400 million buckets reflects uncertainty over how much the massive early momentum will carry through the full three-day frame versus historical superhero caps and competition. Upcoming Friday actuals and daily updates will likely sharpen the picture ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record $72 million in previews has driven intense trader interest in Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic opening weekend, positioning the Tom Holland-led sequel for a potential top-two launch behind Avengers: Endgame. Strong presales, glowing reviews (91% on Rotten Tomatoes), and international records fuel momentum toward the $280–300 million range, while studio tracking remains more conservative. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 360–400 million buckets reflects uncertainty over how much the massive early momentum will carry through the full three-day frame versus historical superhero caps and competition. Upcoming Friday actuals and daily updates will likely sharpen the picture ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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