Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—along with a historic $47 million Monday and $407 million cumulative after four days has established overwhelming trader consensus for a 900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal summer competition, and rapid acceleration past prior MCU benchmarks are fueling the market-implied 78.8% probability on the top outcome. With the film already showing blockbuster legs and tracking toward franchise highs, the next few weeks of daily updates will likely reinforce this trajectory unless unexpected drops materialize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿El total bruto interno de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" para el 31 de agosto?
900m+ 79.8%
800 - 900 millones 17%
700 - 800 millones 2.7%
600 - 700 millones <1%
$324,934 Vol.
$324,934 Vol.
<400 millones
<1%
400 - 500 millones
<1%
500 - 600 millones
1%
600 - 700 millones
1%
700 - 800 millones
3%
800 - 900 millones
17%
900m+
80%
900m+ 79.8%
800 - 900 millones 17%
700 - 800 millones 2.7%
600 - 700 millones <1%
$324,934 Vol.
$324,934 Vol.
<400 millones
<1%
400 - 500 millones
<1%
500 - 600 millones
1%
600 - 700 millones
1%
700 - 800 millones
3%
800 - 900 millones
17%
900m+
80%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever, topping Avengers: Endgame—along with a historic $47 million Monday and $407 million cumulative after four days has established overwhelming trader consensus for a 900 million-plus total by August 31. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal summer competition, and rapid acceleration past prior MCU benchmarks are fueling the market-implied 78.8% probability on the top outcome. With the film already showing blockbuster legs and tracking toward franchise highs, the next few weeks of daily updates will likely reinforce this trajectory unless unexpected drops materialize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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