Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S. has driven the emergence of exceptional (D4) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid September 8, 2026, with isolated D4 appearing in northwest Arkansas (Benton County) for the first time since 2012 and pockets returning in North Carolina’s Triad region. Nationally, D4 covered roughly 1.5% of the contiguous U.S. amid widespread D3–D4 expansion fueled by 10–15°F above-normal temperatures and minimal rainfall from Texas through Missouri and into the central Plains. The next USDM release, scheduled for September 17 and based on conditions through September 15, will reflect any further degradation from the ongoing dry, hot pattern or limited relief if scattered showers materialize. Traders should monitor short-term precipitation deficits, soil moisture, and streamflow data from NOAA and USGS, as small shifts in these metrics can alter D4 boundaries in affected states.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSequía excepcional (D4) por estado — semana del 15 de septiembre de 2026

Alabama
3%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
3%

Florida
5%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
63%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Luisiana
4%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
61%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
62%

Nueva Jersey
3%

Nuevo México
63%

Carolina del Norte
62%

Dakota del Norte
4%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregón
82%

Pensilvania
25%

Carolina del Sur
6%

Dakota del Sur
4%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
92%

Utah
61%

Virginia
3%

Washington
5%

Virginia Occidental
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
39%
$4,688 Vol.

Alabama
3%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
3%

Florida
5%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
63%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Luisiana
4%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
61%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
62%

Nueva Jersey
3%

Nuevo México
63%

Carolina del Norte
62%

Dakota del Norte
4%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregón
82%

Pensilvania
25%

Carolina del Sur
6%

Dakota del Sur
4%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
92%

Utah
61%

Virginia
3%

Washington
5%

Virginia Occidental
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
39%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fuente de resolución
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S. has driven the emergence of exceptional (D4) conditions on the U.S. Drought Monitor map valid September 8, 2026, with isolated D4 appearing in northwest Arkansas (Benton County) for the first time since 2012 and pockets returning in North Carolina’s Triad region. Nationally, D4 covered roughly 1.5% of the contiguous U.S. amid widespread D3–D4 expansion fueled by 10–15°F above-normal temperatures and minimal rainfall from Texas through Missouri and into the central Plains. The next USDM release, scheduled for September 17 and based on conditions through September 15, will reflect any further degradation from the ongoing dry, hot pattern or limited relief if scattered showers materialize. Traders should monitor short-term precipitation deficits, soil moisture, and streamflow data from NOAA and USGS, as small shifts in these metrics can alter D4 boundaries in affected states.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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