The Texas Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains extremely competitive ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely voters and seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from both camps, fueled by Cornyn allies outspending Paxton forces by more than four to one, has reinforced base divisions between establishment and more conservative factions without producing a clear breakout. Governor Greg Abbott's decision not to endorse and the continued absence of a Trump endorsement have kept momentum balanced, while early voting and final turnout patterns could still shift the margin in either direction. This uncertainty sustains trader focus on narrow victory ranges across multiple outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCornyn <3% 22.7%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
25 may 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
23%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
5%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Cornyn <3% 22.7%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Vol.
$59,275 Vol.
25 may 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,914 Vol.
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 Vol.
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 Vol.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 Vol.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 Vol.
23%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 Vol.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 Vol.
5%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,076 Vol.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains extremely competitive ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely voters and seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from both camps, fueled by Cornyn allies outspending Paxton forces by more than four to one, has reinforced base divisions between establishment and more conservative factions without producing a clear breakout. Governor Greg Abbott's decision not to endorse and the continued absence of a Trump endorsement have kept momentum balanced, while early voting and final turnout patterns could still shift the margin in either direction. This uncertainty sustains trader focus on narrow victory ranges across multiple outcomes.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volumen
$59,275Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains extremely competitive ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely voters and seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from both camps, fueled by Cornyn allies outspending Paxton forces by more than four to one, has reinforced base divisions between establishment and more conservative factions without producing a clear breakout. Governor Greg Abbott's decision not to endorse and the continued absence of a Trump endorsement have kept momentum balanced, while early voting and final turnout patterns could still shift the margin in either direction. This uncertainty sustains trader focus on narrow victory ranges across multiple outcomes.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$59,275Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains extremely competitive ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely voters and seven percent undecided. Heavy negative advertising from both camps, fueled by Cornyn allies outspending Paxton forces by more than four to one, has reinforced base divisions between establishment and more conservative factions without producing a clear breakout. Governor Greg Abbott's decision not to endorse and the continued absence of a Trump endorsement have kept momentum balanced, while early voting and final turnout patterns could still shift the margin in either direction. This uncertainty sustains trader focus on narrow victory ranges across multiple outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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