Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, driven by persistent concerns over a stalemated conflict involving Iran, elevated energy prices, and broader cost-of-living pressures ahead of the midterms. Multiple surveys from CNN, AP-NORC, Quinnipiac, and Reuters/Ipsos released in late July and early August cluster between 32% and 39%, producing averages near 37%, which aligns with the tightly bunched market prices across the 37–38.9 ranges. The narrow spread among leading bins reflects limited volatility in the short window to August 14 and the absence of major scheduled events or breaking developments capable of shifting sentiment sharply. Fresh data releases, diplomatic updates on Iran, or economic indicators within the next week could widen the distribution if they move the underlying polling average outside the current cluster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
38,5–38,9 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<37.0
22%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38.0–38.4
37%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0+
36%
37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38.0–38.4 37%
38,5–38,9 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<37.0
$0 Vol.
22%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
37%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
37%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
37%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
37%
39,0+
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, driven by persistent concerns over a stalemated conflict involving Iran, elevated energy prices, and broader cost-of-living pressures ahead of the midterms. Multiple surveys from CNN, AP-NORC, Quinnipiac, and Reuters/Ipsos released in late July and early August cluster between 32% and 39%, producing averages near 37%, which aligns with the tightly bunched market prices across the 37–38.9 ranges. The narrow spread among leading bins reflects limited volatility in the short window to August 14 and the absence of major scheduled events or breaking developments capable of shifting sentiment sharply. Fresh data releases, diplomatic updates on Iran, or economic indicators within the next week could widen the distribution if they move the underlying polling average outside the current cluster.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, driven by persistent concerns over a stalemated conflict involving Iran, elevated energy prices, and broader cost-of-living pressures ahead of the midterms. Multiple surveys from CNN, AP-NORC, Quinnipiac, and Reuters/Ipsos released in late July and early August cluster between 32% and 39%, producing averages near 37%, which aligns with the tightly bunched market prices across the 37–38.9 ranges. The narrow spread among leading bins reflects limited volatility in the short window to August 14 and the absence of major scheduled events or breaking developments capable of shifting sentiment sharply. Fresh data releases, diplomatic updates on Iran, or economic indicators within the next week could widen the distribution if they move the underlying polling average outside the current cluster.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, driven by persistent concerns over a stalemated conflict involving Iran, elevated energy prices, and broader cost-of-living pressures ahead of the midterms. Multiple surveys from CNN, AP-NORC, Quinnipiac, and Reuters/Ipsos released in late July and early August cluster between 32% and 39%, producing averages near 37%, which aligns with the tightly bunched market prices across the 37–38.9 ranges. The narrow spread among leading bins reflects limited volatility in the short window to August 14 and the absence of major scheduled events or breaking developments capable of shifting sentiment sharply. Fresh data releases, diplomatic updates on Iran, or economic indicators within the next week could widen the distribution if they move the underlying polling average outside the current cluster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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