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icon for Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

100-119 16.6%

140-159 15%

120-139 14%

200+ 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

100-119 16.6%

140-159 15%

120-139 14%

200+ 14%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<20

$12 Vol.

9%

20-39

$127 Vol.

1%

40-59

$12 Vol.

9%

60-79

$15 Vol.

9%

80-99

$15 Vol.

9%

100-119

$152 Vol.

17%

120-139

$141 Vol.

14%

140-159

$131 Vol.

15%

160-179

$210 Vol.

7%

180-199

$163 Vol.

8%

200+

$457 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 according to multiple analyses of thousands of entries, anchors trader expectations near 130-150 for the eight-day window. This baseline, combined with routine patterns of evening and late-night posting, distributes probability across the 100-159 buckets while allowing for spikes during policy announcements or external events. The early-August rollout of Truth Social's paid early-access API has introduced new attention around timing and market sensitivity but shows no immediate shift in volume. Variability from scheduled travel, legislative developments, or international developments sustains the even spread, with separation likely only if a high-volume news cycle emerges or posting slows during quieter periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,435
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily across 2025 and 2026 according to multiple analyses of thousands of entries, anchors trader expectations near 130-150 for the eight-day window. This baseline, combined with routine patterns of evening and late-night posting, distributes probability across the 100-159 buckets while allowing for spikes during policy announcements or external events. The early-August rollout of Truth Social's paid early-access API has introduced new attention around timing and market sensitivity but shows no immediate shift in volume. Variability from scheduled travel, legislative developments, or international developments sustains the even spread, with separation likely only if a high-volume news cycle emerges or posting slows during quieter periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,435
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Relacionado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "100-119" con 17%, seguido de "120-139" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" es "100-119" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "120-139" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.