Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting recent confidential S-1 filings and analyst briefings targeting around $1.75 trillion for a potential late June listing, up from the $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $24 billion next year amid 10 million subscribers—and Starship development milestones have driven rapid private market re-rating, with 30% odds on the adjacent $2.00-2.25 trillion bin capturing upside hype from integration rumors with xAI. Lower bins trail due to robust fundamentals outpacing historical space sector comparables, though regulatory approvals and final prospectus details remain key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1,75-2,00 billones 55%
2,00-2,25T 32%
1,50-1,75T 15.7%
2.25-2.50T 14.0%
$132,959 Vol.
$132,959 Vol.
<1,25B
<1%
1.25-1.50T
6%
1,50-1,75T
22%
1,75-2,00 billones
55%
2,00-2,25T
32%
2.25-2.50T
14%
2.50T+
6%
1,75-2,00 billones 55%
2,00-2,25T 32%
1,50-1,75T 15.7%
2.25-2.50T 14.0%
$132,959 Vol.
$132,959 Vol.
<1,25B
$60,323 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,025 Vol.
6%
1,50-1,75T
$8,945 Vol.
22%
1,75-2,00 billones
$12,910 Vol.
55%
2,00-2,25T
$13,938 Vol.
32%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 Vol.
14%
2.50T+
$10,762 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting recent confidential S-1 filings and analyst briefings targeting around $1.75 trillion for a potential late June listing, up from the $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $24 billion next year amid 10 million subscribers—and Starship development milestones have driven rapid private market re-rating, with 30% odds on the adjacent $2.00-2.25 trillion bin capturing upside hype from integration rumors with xAI. Lower bins trail due to robust fundamentals outpacing historical space sector comparables, though regulatory approvals and final prospectus details remain key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$132,959Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting recent confidential S-1 filings and analyst briefings targeting around $1.75 trillion for a potential late June listing, up from the $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $24 billion next year amid 10 million subscribers—and Starship development milestones have driven rapid private market re-rating, with 30% odds on the adjacent $2.00-2.25 trillion bin capturing upside hype from integration rumors with xAI. Lower bins trail due to robust fundamentals outpacing historical space sector comparables, though regulatory approvals and final prospectus details remain key catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$132,959Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation falling in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting recent confidential S-1 filings and analyst briefings targeting around $1.75 trillion for a potential late June listing, up from the $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $24 billion next year amid 10 million subscribers—and Starship development milestones have driven rapid private market re-rating, with 30% odds on the adjacent $2.00-2.25 trillion bin capturing upside hype from integration rumors with xAI. Lower bins trail due to robust fundamentals outpacing historical space sector comparables, though regulatory approvals and final prospectus details remain key catalysts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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