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Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

icon for Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

$236,434 Vol.

17 may 2026
Polymarket

$236,434 Vol.

Polymarket

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$7,087 Vol.

100%

Elon Musk

$30,368 Vol.

100%

Marco Rubio

$18,823 Vol.

99%

Scott Bessent

$3,491 Vol.

96%

Tim Cook

$21,544 Vol.

96%

Any of Trump’s sons

$9,182 Vol.

93%

Steve Witkoff

$11,428 Vol.

12%

Jared Kushner

$29,781 Vol.

11%

Mark Zuckerberg

$12,100 Vol.

1%

Melania Trump

$29,085 Vol.

1%

J.D. Vance

$63,544 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$236,434
Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, with a large U.S. delegation including CEOs Elon Musk of Tesla, Tim Cook of Apple, Larry Fink of BlackRock, and executives from Nvidia, Boeing, and other sectors, fueling trader consensus toward near-certainty on their attendance at the May 14-15 summit with Xi Jinping. White House confirmations of this business-heavy group—aimed at advancing trade deals, agriculture purchases, and tech cooperation—have spiked yes prices above 98% for these figures and "Any CEO of a publicly-listed U.S. company," reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on physical presence at bilateral meetings or state events with Chinese officials. High odds for Secretary of State Marco Rubio stem from diplomatic protocol, while lower probabilities for family like Melania Trump or Jared Kushner indicate unconfirmed roles; resolution awaits Trump's China departure amid Iran and Taiwan discussions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.

If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No".

The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$236,434
Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 AM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event which is part of this summit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If no summit occurs by May 20, this market will resolve to "No". The summit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" con 100%, seguido de "Elon Musk" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" ha generado $236.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" es "Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elon Musk" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.