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icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$422,323 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$422,323 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Donald Tusk

Donald Tusk

$12,932 Vol.

89%

icon for Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen

$10,085 Vol.

36%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$9,100 Vol.

33%

icon for Friedrich Merz

Friedrich Merz

$33,739 Vol.

33%

icon for Mark Carney

Mark Carney

$11,564 Vol.

25%

icon for Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte

$9,784 Vol.

33%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$7,721 Vol.

17%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$72,478 Vol.

13%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$108,911 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks shapes trader probabilities for visits by year-end. U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff traveled to Kyiv in early September 2026 for direct meetings with President Zelenskyy following prior Moscow discussions, boosting implied odds for those figures and signaling continued high-level U.S. involvement. European leaders maintain frequent trips tied to aid coordination, NATO-Ukraine Council sessions, and summits, supporting elevated probabilities for officials such as António Costa, Donald Tusk, and Mark Rutte. Low odds for President Trump and JD Vance reflect their focus on remote negotiations rather than travel. Scheduled events including potential follow-up talks and winter aid discussions could shift outcomes before the December 31 resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$422,323
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks shapes trader probabilities for visits by year-end. U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff traveled to Kyiv in early September 2026 for direct meetings with President Zelenskyy following prior Moscow discussions, boosting implied odds for those figures and signaling continued high-level U.S. involvement. European leaders maintain frequent trips tied to aid coordination, NATO-Ukraine Council sessions, and summits, supporting elevated probabilities for officials such as António Costa, Donald Tusk, and Mark Rutte. Low odds for President Trump and JD Vance reflect their focus on remote negotiations rather than travel. Scheduled events including potential follow-up talks and winter aid discussions could shift outcomes before the December 31 resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$422,323
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "António Costa" con 100%, seguido de "Maia Sandu" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" ha generado $422.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" es "António Costa" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Maia Sandu" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.