Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks shapes trader probabilities for visits by year-end. U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff traveled to Kyiv in early September 2026 for direct meetings with President Zelenskyy following prior Moscow discussions, boosting implied odds for those figures and signaling continued high-level U.S. involvement. European leaders maintain frequent trips tied to aid coordination, NATO-Ukraine Council sessions, and summits, supporting elevated probabilities for officials such as António Costa, Donald Tusk, and Mark Rutte. Low odds for President Trump and JD Vance reflect their focus on remote negotiations rather than travel. Scheduled events including potential follow-up talks and winter aid discussions could shift outcomes before the December 31 resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWho will visit Ukraine by December 31?
$422,323 Vol.

Donald Tusk
89%

Ursula von der Leyen
36%

António Guterres
33%

Friedrich Merz
33%

Mark Carney
25%

Mark Rutte
33%

Emmanuel Macron
17%

JD Vance
13%

Donald Trump
4%
$422,323 Vol.

Donald Tusk
89%

Ursula von der Leyen
36%

António Guterres
33%

Friedrich Merz
33%

Mark Carney
25%

Mark Rutte
33%

Emmanuel Macron
17%

JD Vance
13%

Donald Trump
4%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks shapes trader probabilities for visits by year-end. U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff traveled to Kyiv in early September 2026 for direct meetings with President Zelenskyy following prior Moscow discussions, boosting implied odds for those figures and signaling continued high-level U.S. involvement. European leaders maintain frequent trips tied to aid coordination, NATO-Ukraine Council sessions, and summits, supporting elevated probabilities for officials such as António Costa, Donald Tusk, and Mark Rutte. Low odds for President Trump and JD Vance reflect their focus on remote negotiations rather than travel. Scheduled events including potential follow-up talks and winter aid discussions could shift outcomes before the December 31 resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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