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icon for ¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?

¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?

icon for ¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?

¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?

NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$786 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre de 2026

$26 Vol.

6%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$748 Vol.

6%

30 de junio de 2027

$11 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans and sources close to him report he intends to remain on the bench through at least 2026. Lifetime tenure allows him to time any announcement around personal health, family considerations, or strategic factors such as ensuring a successor shares his judicial philosophy. The Trump White House has reportedly applied pressure for a vacancy to secure a fourth appointment before the November midterms, when Senate control could shift. Historical precedent shows justices often retire at the end of a term in June or July when aligned with a friendly president and Senate, yet repeated past statements from Thomas emphasize staying as long as possible. Any announcement would likely hinge on private deliberations rather than external events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volumen
$786
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans and sources close to him report he intends to remain on the bench through at least 2026. Lifetime tenure allows him to time any announcement around personal health, family considerations, or strategic factors such as ensuring a successor shares his judicial philosophy. The Trump White House has reportedly applied pressure for a vacancy to secure a fourth appointment before the November midterms, when Senate control could shift. Historical precedent shows justices often retire at the end of a term in June or July when aligned with a friendly president and Senate, yet repeated past statements from Thomas emphasize staying as long as possible. Any announcement would likely hinge on private deliberations rather than external events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volumen
$786
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2027" con 52%, seguido de "30 de septiembre de 2026" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?" es "30 de junio de 2027" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de septiembre de 2026" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Clarence Thomas anunciará su retiro antes del...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.