Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Khatnie, a small village northeast of Velykyi Burluk in Kharkiv Oblast's Kupyansk direction, since late 2025 but achieved no confirmed advances into the settlement per ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. Recent ISW assessments from May 8–13 detail limited Russian ground operations in the Kupyansk sector amid intense Ukrainian drone interdictions targeting assault groups and logistics, contributing to stalled progress. Ukrainian defenders repelled attacks near adjacent areas like Synkivka and Petropavlivka. With the market resolving Yes if Russia captures any Khatnie territory by May 31 per ISW, trader consensus reflects significant barriers including fortified defenses and attritional fighting, though escalation in assaults or breakthroughs could shift dynamics before deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Rusia entrará en Khatnie por...?
¿Rusia entrará en Khatnie por...?
$124,227 Vol.
May 31
17%
$124,227 Vol.
May 31
17%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Khatnie, a small village northeast of Velykyi Burluk in Kharkiv Oblast's Kupyansk direction, since late 2025 but achieved no confirmed advances into the settlement per ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. Recent ISW assessments from May 8–13 detail limited Russian ground operations in the Kupyansk sector amid intense Ukrainian drone interdictions targeting assault groups and logistics, contributing to stalled progress. Ukrainian defenders repelled attacks near adjacent areas like Synkivka and Petropavlivka. With the market resolving Yes if Russia captures any Khatnie territory by May 31 per ISW, trader consensus reflects significant barriers including fortified defenses and attritional fighting, though escalation in assaults or breakthroughs could shift dynamics before deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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