Skip to main content
icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$41,341 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$41,341 Vol.

Polymarket

May 22

$28,127 Vol.

70%

May 31

$7,593 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs committees to produce reconciliation legislation providing up to $70 billion each in deficit-increasing spending, primarily for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. Committees released draft text in early May totaling roughly $72 billion in new appropriations that can be obligated through 2029, with markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and leadership targeting final Senate passage by June 1. The process allows the measure to clear the chamber with a simple majority under expedited rules that limit amendments and preclude a filibuster. House action and conference negotiations remain ahead before the package could reach the president.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$41,341
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2026 budget resolution in late April that directs the Judiciary and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs committees to produce reconciliation legislation providing up to $70 billion each in deficit-increasing spending, primarily for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. Committees released draft text in early May totaling roughly $72 billion in new appropriations that can be obligated through 2029, with markups scheduled for the week of May 19 and leadership targeting final Senate passage by June 1. The process allows the measure to clear the chamber with a simple majority under expedited rules that limit amendments and preclude a filibuster. House action and conference negotiations remain ahead before the package could reach the president.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$41,341
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 31" con 82%, seguido de "May 22" con 70%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" ha generado $41.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es "May 31" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 22" con 70%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.