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icon for ¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?

$1,242,804 Vol.

31 dic 2025
Polymarket

$1,242,804 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$477,378 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Venezuela tensions escalated sharply in early 2026 when U.S. forces launched strikes on Caracas infrastructure and captured President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez without seeking congressional authorization for hostilities. Congress considered War Powers resolutions to restrict further action, but none passed into law. By March, the two countries reestablished diplomatic and consular relations, lifted key sanctions on oil and mining, and resumed embassy operations to support economic recovery and a political transition. These steps reflect a shift from maximum-pressure tactics to negotiated stabilization, with no recent legislative moves or executive statements indicating plans for a formal war declaration. Upcoming Venezuelan governance milestones and U.S. policy reviews could influence any future trajectory, though current trajectories favor continued diplomatic engagement over escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,242,804
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Venezuela tensions escalated sharply in early 2026 when U.S. forces launched strikes on Caracas infrastructure and captured President Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez without seeking congressional authorization for hostilities. Congress considered War Powers resolutions to restrict further action, but none passed into law. By March, the two countries reestablished diplomatic and consular relations, lifted key sanctions on oil and mining, and resumed embassy operations to support economic recovery and a political transition. These steps reflect a shift from maximum-pressure tactics to negotiated stabilization, with no recent legislative moves or executive statements indicating plans for a formal war declaration. Upcoming Venezuelan governance milestones and U.S. policy reviews could influence any future trajectory, though current trajectories favor continued diplomatic engagement over escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,242,804
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2026" con 1%, seguido de "31 de diciembre" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" es "30 de junio de 2026" con solo 1%, con "31 de diciembre" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos declarará oficialmente la guerra a Venezuela antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.