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icon for ¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·Terror

¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·Terror

¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?

Sí

95% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

95% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,092
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026 State Department action under Secretary Marco Rubio provides the dominant driver of current trader consensus. Officials designated Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists immediately, with the Foreign Terrorist Organization label scheduled to take effect June 5. The move aligns with broader counternarcotics efforts targeting transnational criminal networks and follows direct advocacy from Brazilian opposition figures, including meetings between President Trump and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Brazilian authorities opposed the step as interference, yet the formal designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window. With the process already completed and no reversal mechanisms indicated, market pricing reflects near-certainty that the threshold will be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,092
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Designará Trump al PCC o CV de Brasil como terroristas antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 95%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "¿Designará Trump al PCC o CV de Brasil como terroristas antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump designará al PCC o CV de Brasil como terrorista antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.