Geopolitical negotiations between the US and Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz represent the dominant near-term driver for WTI prices heading into the week of June 15, 2026. Hopes for an interim agreement have triggered sharp selling, with WTI falling more than 3% to around $84.88 per barrel on June 12 amid reports of potential deal terms involving sanctions relief and nuclear issues, though uncertainties persist. This follows months of elevated prices above $100 driven by the effective closure of the strait and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Traders are monitoring EIA inventory data, OPEC+ output adjustments, and any final diplomatic signals, as resolution could ease supply constraints while prolonged disruption would sustain inventory draws and support higher benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
11%
↑ $100
30%
↑ $95
33%
↑ $90
40%
↑ $85
74%
↓ $80
49%
↓ $75
25%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $65
15%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $50
5%
$99 Vol.
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
11%
↑ $100
30%
↑ $95
33%
↑ $90
40%
↑ $85
74%
↓ $80
49%
↓ $75
25%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $65
15%
↓ $60
10%
↓ $55
7%
↓ $50
5%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical negotiations between the US and Iran over reopening the Strait of Hormuz represent the dominant near-term driver for WTI prices heading into the week of June 15, 2026. Hopes for an interim agreement have triggered sharp selling, with WTI falling more than 3% to around $84.88 per barrel on June 12 amid reports of potential deal terms involving sanctions relief and nuclear issues, though uncertainties persist. This follows months of elevated prices above $100 driven by the effective closure of the strait and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day. Traders are monitoring EIA inventory data, OPEC+ output adjustments, and any final diplomatic signals, as resolution could ease supply constraints while prolonged disruption would sustain inventory draws and support higher benchmarks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes