**Muse from Meta leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability for the #1 free US App Store spot on October 2, driven by its sustained top ranking since mid-September.** Launched September 8 as a personal AI agent capable of handling tasks like booking reservations, filling forms, and integrating with email, calendars, and services such as Spotify and OpenTable, Muse overtook ChatGPT within days through aggressive Meta ads, referral incentives, ratings prompts, and a mascot-driven growth strategy. It reached roughly 730,000 US downloads in its first five days and expanded to Mac on September 17, with further capabilities highlighted at Meta’s late-September Connect event. Current charts show Muse holding #1 ahead of Momo, Vinted, StoryReel, Gemini, and ChatGPT, with no major competing launches imminent before the resolution date. The market’s multiple 50% reserved options and “Other” reflect uncertainty around potential late surges, while lower odds on established apps underscore Muse’s early momentum in the agentic AI category.