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App predictions & odds

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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

34%

ChatGPT

$7.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

75%

ChatGPT

$4.3K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

94%

Shadowrocket

$1.9K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

100%

FP

$157K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

4

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$94.8K Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

6

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $304

$110K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 11 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 11 2026?

26%

↑ $304

$10.9K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

-

$2.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Trump approval rating on May 15?

Trump approval rating on May 15?

72%

38.5–38.9

$18.4K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

Apple (AAPL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Apple (AAPL) closes week of May 11 at ___?

45%

$295-$300

$1.7K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

3%

$2.8K Vol.

$788 Liq.

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 11 above___?

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 11 above___?

100%

$260

$1.2K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

95%

$96.0K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

40

Ends in 8 months

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

41%

35%

$72.1K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

9%

$3.2K Vol.

$133 Liq.

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

8%

Up

$437 Vol.

$95 Liq.

Ends in 32 minutes

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

85%

$161K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

16%

$564K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 15?

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on May 15?

98%

$290

$167 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

99%

38.5%

$1.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like App.

Polymarket currently hosts 188 active markets for App that lets you track or trade on predictions like “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on App predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.