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Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

icon for Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

8% chance
Polymarket
NEW
8% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with a binned A18 Pro chip, a 13-inch Liquid Retina display, and Apple Intelligence features, continues to drive strong trader consensus at 91% against discontinuation. Surging demand has sold out base models through May, prompting Apple to plan 10 million units—double initial targets—despite exhausting leftover iPhone chips and facing rising DRAM costs. This skin-in-the-game optimism stems from critical acclaim, commercial success attracting new users, and Apple's history of iterating budget hardware rather than axing hits. Realistic challenges include sustained chip shortages forcing margin squeezes or base-model cuts, with Q2 earnings or supply chain updates as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$554
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with a binned A18 Pro chip, a 13-inch Liquid Retina display, and Apple Intelligence features, continues to drive strong trader consensus at 91% against discontinuation. Surging demand has sold out base models through May, prompting Apple to plan 10 million units—double initial targets—despite exhausting leftover iPhone chips and facing rising DRAM costs. This skin-in-the-game optimism stems from critical acclaim, commercial success attracting new users, and Apple's history of iterating budget hardware rather than axing hits. Realistic challenges include sustained chip shortages forcing margin squeezes or base-model cuts, with Q2 earnings or supply chain updates as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$554
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 8% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 8¢, the market collectively assigns a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" is 8% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.