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Sports·MLB

2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5

icon for 2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5
Sports·MLB

2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5

NEW
Jul 12, 2026
Polymarket

$827 Vol.

Polymarket

Grady Emerson

$40 Vol.

95%

Vahn Lackey

$0 Vol.

92%

Roch Cholowsky

$0 Vol.

92%

Jackson Flora

$0 Vol.

66%

Jacob Lombard

$0 Vol.

55%

Eric Booth Jr.

$0 Vol.

22%

Tyler Bell

$305 Vol.

11%

Justin Lebron

$40 Vol.

10%

Gio Rojas

$20 Vol.

7%

Landon Thome

$0 Vol.

7%

Mason Edwards

$0 Vol.

7%

Sawyer Strosnider

$0 Vol.

6%

Will Brick

$0 Vol.

6%

Gavin Grahovac

$0 Vol.

6%

James Clark

$0 Vol.

6%

Taylor Rabe

$0 Vol.

6%

Drew Burress

$22 Vol.

6%

Cameron Flukey

$0 Vol.

6%

Ryder Helfrick

$0 Vol.

6%

AJ Gracia

$400 Vol.

5%

Caden Sorrell

$0 Vol.

5%

Derek Curiel

$0 Vol.

5%

Trevor Condon

$0 Vol.

5%

Logan Reddemann

$0 Vol.

5%

Jarren Advincula

$0 Vol.

5%

Chris Hacopian

$0 Vol.

5%

Carson Bolemon

$0 Vol.

5%

Bo Lowrance

$0 Vol.

4%

Chris Rembert

$0 Vol.

4%

Jared Grindlinger

$0 Vol.

3%

Liam Peterson

$0 Vol.

3%

Tegan Kuhns

$0 Vol.

3%

Zion Rose

$0 Vol.

3%

Hunter Dietz

$0 Vol.

3%

Daniel Jackson

$0 Vol.

3%

Aiden Robbins

$0 Vol.

3%

Ace Reese

$0 Vol.

3%

Logan Hughes

$0 Vol.

3%

Coleman Borthwick

$0 Vol.

3%

Chase Brunson

$0 Vol.

3%

Ty Head

$0 Vol.

3%

Brody Bumila

$0 Vol.

3%

Cole Carlon

$0 Vol.

3%

Cole Prosek

$0 Vol.

3%

Aiden Ruiz

$0 Vol.

3%

Cade Townsend

$0 Vol.

3%

Taj Marchand

$0 Vol.

3%

Eric Becker

$0 Vol.

3%

Jack Radel

$0 Vol.

3%

Logan Schmidt

$0 Vol.

3%

Rocco Maniscalco

$0 Vol.

3%

Wes Mendes

$0 Vol.

3%

Andrew Williamson

$0 Vol.

3%

Tyler Spangler

$0 Vol.

3%

Connor Comeau

$0 Vol.

3%

Kaden Waechter

$0 Vol.

3%

Ben Blair

$0 Vol.

3%

Jake Brown

$0 Vol.

3%

Archer Horn

$0 Vol.

2%

Jensen Hirschkorn

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Draft begins July 11 with the Chicago White Sox holding the first overall selection, followed by the Rays, Twins, Giants, and Pirates. Consensus rankings place UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky atop most boards as a polished five-tool college bat, with Texas prep shortstop Grady Emerson and Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey close behind as the primary high school and college alternatives. UC Santa Barbara right-hander Jackson Flora anchors the top pitching tier. Recent spring and summer updates show stable ordering among these names, with minor risers like Jacob Lombard and Drew Burress adding depth to the top 10. Trader focus centers on positional value, signability, and team-specific needs at premium spots, with late scouting adjustments or workout performances the final variables before selections lock in the top five.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$827
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Draft begins July 11 with the Chicago White Sox holding the first overall selection, followed by the Rays, Twins, Giants, and Pirates. Consensus rankings place UCLA shortstop Roch Cholowsky atop most boards as a polished five-tool college bat, with Texas prep shortstop Grady Emerson and Georgia Tech catcher Vahn Lackey close behind as the primary high school and college alternatives. UC Santa Barbara right-hander Jackson Flora anchors the top pitching tier. Recent spring and summer updates show stable ordering among these names, with minor risers like Jacob Lombard and Drew Burress adding depth to the top 10. Trader focus centers on positional value, signability, and team-specific needs at premium spots, with late scouting adjustments or workout performances the final variables before selections lock in the top five.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$827
End Date
Jul 12, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted with the overall pick 1-5 in the first round of the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Grady Emerson be drafted in the top 10 in the 2026 MLB Draft?

Will Grady Emerson be drafted in the top 10 in the 2026 MLB Draft?

96%
icon for Will Roch Cholowsky be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?

Will Roch Cholowsky be drafted in the top 3 in the 2026 MLB Draft?

91%
icon for Will Grady Emerson be drafted 6th overall in the 2026 MLB Draft?

Will Grady Emerson be drafted 6th overall in the 2026 MLB Draft?

50%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 60+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Grady Emerson" at 95%, followed by "Vahn Lackey" at 92%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5," browse the 60+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5" is "Grady Emerson" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vahn Lackey" at 92%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 MLB Draft: Player to be Drafted in the Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.