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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 73%

Darryn Peterson 21%

Cameron Boozer 5.3%

Caleb Wilson 1.6%

Polymarket

$46,455 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa 73%

Darryn Peterson 21%

Cameron Boozer 5.3%

Caleb Wilson 1.6%

Polymarket

$46,455 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa

$20,173 Vol.

73%

Darryn Peterson

$9,515 Vol.

21%

Cameron Boozer

$5,696 Vol.

5%

Caleb Wilson

$4,181 Vol.

2%

Jayden Quaintance

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

Koa Peat

$1,550 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$1,232 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,742 Vol.

<1%

Tounde Yessoufou

$1,157 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.Trader consensus heavily favors BYU wing AJ Dybantsa at 74.5% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's No. 1 overall pick following the Washington Wizards' lottery win and his standout NBA Draft Combine showing, including a 42-inch vertical and elite agility at 6-9.5. Dybantsa's historic freshman campaign—leading the NCAA with 25.5 PPG alongside 6.8 RPG and 3.7 APG in the competitive Big 12—has solidified him as the safest, highest-floor prospect per recent ESPN rankings and post-lottery mocks. Kansas guard Darryn Peterson's 20.5% reflects his elite shot creation and upside despite cramping issues addressed at the combine, while Duke's Cameron Boozer at 5.4% benefits from strong measurements but trails in ceiling debates among scouts.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$46,455
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.Trader consensus heavily favors BYU wing AJ Dybantsa at 74.5% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's No. 1 overall pick following the Washington Wizards' lottery win and his standout NBA Draft Combine showing, including a 42-inch vertical and elite agility at 6-9.5. Dybantsa's historic freshman campaign—leading the NCAA with 25.5 PPG alongside 6.8 RPG and 3.7 APG in the competitive Big 12—has solidified him as the safest, highest-floor prospect per recent ESPN rankings and post-lottery mocks. Kansas guard Darryn Peterson's 20.5% reflects his elite shot creation and upside despite cramping issues addressed at the combine, while Duke's Cameron Boozer at 5.4% benefits from strong measurements but trails in ceiling debates among scouts.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$46,455
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 73%, followed by "Darryn Peterson" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $46.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darryn Peterson" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.