Trader consensus heavily favors BYU wing AJ Dybantsa at 74.5% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's No. 1 overall pick following the Washington Wizards' lottery win and his standout NBA Draft Combine showing, including a 42-inch vertical and elite agility at 6-9.5. Dybantsa's historic freshman campaign—leading the NCAA with 25.5 PPG alongside 6.8 RPG and 3.7 APG in the competitive Big 12—has solidified him as the safest, highest-floor prospect per recent ESPN rankings and post-lottery mocks. Kansas guard Darryn Peterson's 20.5% reflects his elite shot creation and upside despite cramping issues addressed at the combine, while Duke's Cameron Boozer at 5.4% benefits from strong measurements but trails in ceiling debates among scouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAJ Dybantsa 73%
Darryn Peterson 21%
Cameron Boozer 5.3%
Caleb Wilson 1.6%
$46,455 Vol.
$46,455 Vol.
AJ Dybantsa
73%
Darryn Peterson
21%
Cameron Boozer
5%
Caleb Wilson
2%
Jayden Quaintance
<1%
Koa Peat
<1%
Nate Ament
<1%
Mikel Brown Jr.
<1%
Tounde Yessoufou
<1%
AJ Dybantsa 73%
Darryn Peterson 21%
Cameron Boozer 5.3%
Caleb Wilson 1.6%
$46,455 Vol.
$46,455 Vol.
AJ Dybantsa
73%
Darryn Peterson
21%
Cameron Boozer
5%
Caleb Wilson
2%
Jayden Quaintance
<1%
Koa Peat
<1%
Nate Ament
<1%
Mikel Brown Jr.
<1%
Tounde Yessoufou
<1%
If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors BYU wing AJ Dybantsa at 74.5% implied probability for the 2026 NBA Draft's No. 1 overall pick following the Washington Wizards' lottery win and his standout NBA Draft Combine showing, including a 42-inch vertical and elite agility at 6-9.5. Dybantsa's historic freshman campaign—leading the NCAA with 25.5 PPG alongside 6.8 RPG and 3.7 APG in the competitive Big 12—has solidified him as the safest, highest-floor prospect per recent ESPN rankings and post-lottery mocks. Kansas guard Darryn Peterson's 20.5% reflects his elite shot creation and upside despite cramping issues addressed at the combine, while Duke's Cameron Boozer at 5.4% benefits from strong measurements but trails in ceiling debates among scouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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