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icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Sports·NCAA CBB

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

AJ Dybantsa 73%

Darryn Peterson 24%

Cameron Boozer 3.5%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$80,481 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa 73%

Darryn Peterson 24%

Cameron Boozer 3.5%

Caleb Wilson <1%

Polymarket

$80,481 Vol.

AJ Dybantsa

$30,816 Vol.

73%

Darryn Peterson

$26,924 Vol.

24%

Cameron Boozer

$8,804 Vol.

3%

Caleb Wilson

$7,046 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Quaintance

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

Koa Peat

$1,550 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$1,232 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,742 Vol.

<1%

Tounde Yessoufou

$1,157 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa leads the 2026 NBA Draft market at 72.5% implied probability thanks to his elite three-level scoring, 6-9 athletic frame, and strong finish to a freshman season at BYU that included national scoring honors and improved playmaking. Darryn Peterson sits at 24% after a Kansas campaign marked by high-volume shooting and guard play, though earlier cramping issues linked to creatine use have been resolved per recent medical updates and combine interviews. Cameron Boozer trails at 3.4% on the strength of his Duke frontcourt production and versatility, while the remaining prospects hold negligible shares. The Washington Wizards, who secured the top pick via the May lottery, continue to evaluate all three through pre-draft workouts ahead of the June draft.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$80,481
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.AJ Dybantsa leads the 2026 NBA Draft market at 72.5% implied probability thanks to his elite three-level scoring, 6-9 athletic frame, and strong finish to a freshman season at BYU that included national scoring honors and improved playmaking. Darryn Peterson sits at 24% after a Kansas campaign marked by high-volume shooting and guard play, though earlier cramping issues linked to creatine use have been resolved per recent medical updates and combine interviews. Cameron Boozer trails at 3.4% on the strength of his Duke frontcourt production and versatility, while the remaining prospects hold negligible shares. The Washington Wizards, who secured the top pick via the May lottery, continue to evaluate all three through pre-draft workouts ahead of the June draft.

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Volume
$80,481
End Date
Jun 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 7:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Dybantsa" at 73%, followed by "Darryn Peterson" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" has generated $80.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" is "AJ Dybantsa" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darryn Peterson" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.