Gavin McKenna leads trader consensus for the 2026 NHL Draft first overall pick after a standout freshman season at Penn State, where the dynamic left-shot winger posted 51 points in 35 games and earned NHL Central Scouting’s top ranking among North American skaters. His vision, playmaking ability, and two-way commitment have solidified his edge in most scouting reports and mock drafts released in early May 2026. Ivar Stenberg remains the clear alternative at 17.3 percent, buoyed by his well-rounded game and strong SHL production with Frölunda, though scouts note McKenna’s higher offensive upside gives him the edge in head-to-head evaluations. The wide gap to all other prospects reflects the current lack of comparable upside or recent form from the rest of the class.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGavin McKenna 82%
Ivar Stenberg 17.4%
Caleb Malhotra <1%
Chase Reid <1%
$1,358,208 Vol.
$1,358,208 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
82%
Ivar Stenberg
17%
Caleb Malhotra
1%
Chase Reid
<1%
Alberts Smits
<1%
Carson Carels
<1%
Viggo Björck
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Keaton Verhoeff
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Brooks Rogowski
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Nikita Shcherbakov
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Mikey Berchild
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
Gavin McKenna 82%
Ivar Stenberg 17.4%
Caleb Malhotra <1%
Chase Reid <1%
$1,358,208 Vol.
$1,358,208 Vol.
Gavin McKenna
82%
Ivar Stenberg
17%
Caleb Malhotra
1%
Chase Reid
<1%
Alberts Smits
<1%
Carson Carels
<1%
Viggo Björck
<1%
Marcus Nordmark
<1%
Keaton Verhoeff
<1%
Tynan Lawrence
<1%
Ethan Belchetz
<1%
Ryan Lin
<1%
Daxon Rudolph
<1%
Adam Novotný
<1%
Elton Hermansson
<1%
Mathis Preston
<1%
Juho Piiparinen
<1%
JP Hurlbert
<1%
Oscar Hemming
<1%
Yegor Shilov
<1%
Ilya Morozov
<1%
William Hakansson
<1%
Nikita Klepov
<1%
Pierce Mbuyi
<1%
Ryan Roobroeck
<1%
Brooks Rogowski
<1%
Tomas Chrenko
<1%
Jack Hextall
<1%
Alexander Command
<1%
Niklas Aaram-Olsen
<1%
Nikita Shcherbakov
<1%
Wyatt Cullen
<1%
Alessandro Di Iorio
<1%
Giorgos Pantelas
<1%
Jaxon Cover
<1%
Adam Goljer
<1%
Beckham Edwards
<1%
Simas Ignatavicius
<1%
Liam Ruck
<1%
Victor Plante
<1%
Adam Nemec
<1%
Luke Schairer
<1%
Casey Mutryn
<1%
Mikey Berchild
<1%
Xavier Villeneuve
<1%
Oliver Suvanto
<1%
Malte Gustafsson
<1%
Maddox Dagenais
<1%
Adam Valentini
<1%
Oscar Holmertz
<1%
If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.
If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gavin McKenna leads trader consensus for the 2026 NHL Draft first overall pick after a standout freshman season at Penn State, where the dynamic left-shot winger posted 51 points in 35 games and earned NHL Central Scouting’s top ranking among North American skaters. His vision, playmaking ability, and two-way commitment have solidified his edge in most scouting reports and mock drafts released in early May 2026. Ivar Stenberg remains the clear alternative at 17.3 percent, buoyed by his well-rounded game and strong SHL production with Frölunda, though scouts note McKenna’s higher offensive upside gives him the edge in head-to-head evaluations. The wide gap to all other prospects reflects the current lack of comparable upside or recent form from the rest of the class.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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