Scottie Scheffler leads Polymarket trader consensus at 20.5% implied probability to defend his PGA Championship title at Aronimink Golf Club, bolstered by three straight runner-up finishes—including the Masters—and elite ball-striking that suits the tree-lined, accuracy-demanding par-70 layout softened by overnight rain. Cameron Young's surge to 9.0% reflects his red-hot form with a Players Championship win in March, T-3 at Augusta, and top-10 at last week's Truist Championship, showcasing power and iron play ideal for the 7,200-yard test. Xander Schauffele's 7.5% stems from steady major contention and recent Truist runner-up, while Jon Rahm at 5.5% benefits from LIV momentum despite cross-tour gaps; the wide-open field underscores no dominant favorite amid chilly conditions and upset potential in this second major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 20%
Cameron Young 11%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Jon Rahm 5.7%
$2,092,056 Vol.
$2,092,056 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
20%
Cameron Young
11%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Jon Rahm
6%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Min Woo Lee
4%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ludvig Aberg
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Jason Day
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Harris English
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Tyrrell Hatton
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
J.T. Poston
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Jordan Smith
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Angel Ayora
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Austin Smotherman
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Stewart Cink
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Bernd Wiesberger
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Bryson DeChambeau
<1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 20%
Cameron Young 11%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Jon Rahm 5.7%
$2,092,056 Vol.
$2,092,056 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
20%
Cameron Young
11%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Jon Rahm
6%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Min Woo Lee
4%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Tommy Fleetwood
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ludvig Aberg
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Jason Day
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Harris English
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Marco Penge
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Tyrrell Hatton
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
J.T. Poston
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Max Homa
<1%
Jordan Smith
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Angel Ayora
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Austin Smotherman
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Stewart Cink
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Bernd Wiesberger
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Bryson DeChambeau
<1%
Sungjae Im
<1%
Michael Thorbjornsen
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Tom McKibbin
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Brandt Snedeker
<1%
Jacob Bridgeman
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler leads Polymarket trader consensus at 20.5% implied probability to defend his PGA Championship title at Aronimink Golf Club, bolstered by three straight runner-up finishes—including the Masters—and elite ball-striking that suits the tree-lined, accuracy-demanding par-70 layout softened by overnight rain. Cameron Young's surge to 9.0% reflects his red-hot form with a Players Championship win in March, T-3 at Augusta, and top-10 at last week's Truist Championship, showcasing power and iron play ideal for the 7,200-yard test. Xander Schauffele's 7.5% stems from steady major contention and recent Truist runner-up, while Jon Rahm at 5.5% benefits from LIV momentum despite cross-tour gaps; the wide-open field underscores no dominant favorite amid chilly conditions and upset potential in this second major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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