Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.7% that President Trump will not pardon Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the core legal reality that presidential pardons apply solely to federal offenses, while Woods faces Florida state DUI charges stemming from his March 27 rollover crash and arrest. Body-cam footage revealed Woods had spoken with Trump post-incident, but no federal charges have emerged, and debunked fake Truth Social posts claiming Trump sought a state pardon from Gov. DeSantis fueled brief speculation now dismissed. Woods entered a not guilty plea and plans treatment, potentially impacting PGA Tour schedule like the Masters, but absent unlikely federal escalation or unprecedented executive action, the outcome remains firmly off the table.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$186,262 Vol.
$186,262 Vol.
$186,262 Vol.
$186,262 Vol.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.7% that President Trump will not pardon Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the core legal reality that presidential pardons apply solely to federal offenses, while Woods faces Florida state DUI charges stemming from his March 27 rollover crash and arrest. Body-cam footage revealed Woods had spoken with Trump post-incident, but no federal charges have emerged, and debunked fake Truth Social posts claiming Trump sought a state pardon from Gov. DeSantis fueled brief speculation now dismissed. Woods entered a not guilty plea and plans treatment, potentially impacting PGA Tour schedule like the Masters, but absent unlikely federal escalation or unprecedented executive action, the outcome remains firmly off the table.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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