Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear leader in trader consensus for a top-10 finish, driven by his recent string of runner-up results and elite ball-striking metrics. Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young follow closely behind, with McIlroy leveraging his major pedigree and course history at the classic layout while Young builds on two victories and strong strokes-gained numbers in the lead-up events. Ludvig Åberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Jon Rahm also factor prominently in implied probabilities, supported by consistent recent form and favorable approach play on a course that rewards precision around the greens. Recent performances at the Truist Championship and prior majors highlight how short-game stability and par-3 scoring could separate the top finishers, with the field’s depth at Aronimink leaving realistic paths for established contenders to secure top-10 spots amid typical major-week variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$113,009 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
72%
Rory McIlroy
69%
Kurt Kitayama
57%
Hideki Matsuyama
51%
Pádraig Harrington
50%
Johnny Keefer
50%
Hao-Tong Li
49%
Maverick McNealy
47%
Chris Gotterup
44%
Ben Griffin
32%
Min Woo Lee
31%
Brian Campbell
30%
Ben Kern
30%
Bud Cauley
26%
Chris Kirk
20%
Max Greyserman
21%
Daniel Hillier
19%
Rickie Fowler
14%
Matt Fitzpatrick
14%
Rasmus Hojgaard
10%
Martin Kaymer
11%
Mikael Lindberg
8%
Brooks Koepka
7%
Sam Burns
7%
Patrick Cantlay
6%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
6%
Rico Hoey
6%
Dustin Johnson
6%
Shane Lowry
6%
Si Woo Kim
6%
Daniel Berger
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
5%
Stephan Jaeger
5%
Michael Kim
5%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Ryan Fox
5%
Chandler Blanchet
5%
Brian Harman
6%
Nicolai Hojgaard
4%
Michael Brennan
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Ryan Gerard
1%
William Mouw
1%
Luke Donald
1%
Jason Day
1%
Kazuki Higa
1%
Casey Jarvis
1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Corey Conners
49%
Harris English
41%
$113,009 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
72%
Rory McIlroy
69%
Kurt Kitayama
57%
Hideki Matsuyama
51%
Pádraig Harrington
50%
Johnny Keefer
50%
Hao-Tong Li
49%
Maverick McNealy
47%
Chris Gotterup
44%
Ben Griffin
32%
Min Woo Lee
31%
Brian Campbell
30%
Ben Kern
30%
Bud Cauley
26%
Chris Kirk
20%
Max Greyserman
21%
Daniel Hillier
19%
Rickie Fowler
14%
Matt Fitzpatrick
14%
Rasmus Hojgaard
10%
Martin Kaymer
11%
Mikael Lindberg
8%
Brooks Koepka
7%
Sam Burns
7%
Patrick Cantlay
6%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
6%
Rico Hoey
6%
Dustin Johnson
6%
Shane Lowry
6%
Si Woo Kim
6%
Daniel Berger
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
5%
Stephan Jaeger
5%
Michael Kim
5%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Ryan Fox
5%
Chandler Blanchet
5%
Brian Harman
6%
Nicolai Hojgaard
4%
Michael Brennan
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Ryan Gerard
1%
William Mouw
1%
Luke Donald
1%
Jason Day
1%
Kazuki Higa
1%
Casey Jarvis
1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Corey Conners
49%
Harris English
41%
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear leader in trader consensus for a top-10 finish, driven by his recent string of runner-up results and elite ball-striking metrics. Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young follow closely behind, with McIlroy leveraging his major pedigree and course history at the classic layout while Young builds on two victories and strong strokes-gained numbers in the lead-up events. Ludvig Åberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Jon Rahm also factor prominently in implied probabilities, supported by consistent recent form and favorable approach play on a course that rewards precision around the greens. Recent performances at the Truist Championship and prior majors highlight how short-game stability and par-3 scoring could separate the top finishers, with the field’s depth at Aronimink leaving realistic paths for established contenders to secure top-10 spots amid typical major-week variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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