With 22 players within four shots of Alex Smalley's two-stroke lead after 54 holes at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features the deepest leaderboard in tournament history. Smalley's strong third-round 68 has positioned him for a potential first major title, yet Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler remain within realistic striking distance. Course conditions favoring accurate approach play and steady putting will reward consistent ball-strikers over the final 18 holes, while any late collapses or hot streaks among the large chasing pack could dramatically reshape the top-10 picture before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$111,370 Vol.
May 17, 2026
Ludvig Aberg
71%
Rory McIlroy
68%
Kurt Kitayama
57%
Daniel Hillier
56%
Harris English
53%
Johnny Keefer
50%
Pádraig Harrington
50%
Hao-Tong Li
50%
Maverick McNealy
47%
Chris Gotterup
40%
Min Woo Lee
36%
Matt Fitzpatrick
19%
Ben Griffin
31%
Brian Campbell
30%
Ben Kern
30%
William Mouw
30%
Mikael Lindberg
28%
Hideki Matsuyama
36%
Max Greyserman
22%
Bud Cauley
25%
Chris Kirk
20%
Rickie Fowler
19%
Sam Burns
15%
Brooks Koepka
15%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
11%
Michael Kim
10%
Si Woo Kim
10%
Rasmus Hojgaard
10%
Martin Kaymer
10%
Chandler Blanchet
8%
Michael Brennan
6%
Ryan Gerard
6%
Patrick Cantlay
6%
Rico Hoey
6%
Dustin Johnson
6%
Shane Lowry
6%
Daniel Berger
5%
Stephan Jaeger
5%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Ryan Fox
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
5%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Brian Harman
11%
Nicolai Hojgaard
4%
Jason Day
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Casey Jarvis
1%
Luke Donald
1%
Kazuki Higa
1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
<1%
Corey Conners
50%
$111,370 Vol.
Ludvig Aberg
$6,548 Vol.
71%
Rory McIlroy
$11,502 Vol.
68%
Kurt Kitayama
$1,048 Vol.
57%
Daniel Hillier
$106 Vol.
56%
Harris English
$659 Vol.
53%
Johnny Keefer
$0 Vol.
50%
Pádraig Harrington
$8 Vol.
50%
Hao-Tong Li
$0 Vol.
50%
Maverick McNealy
$450 Vol.
47%
Chris Gotterup
$8,552 Vol.
40%
Min Woo Lee
$5,199 Vol.
36%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$2,265 Vol.
19%
Ben Griffin
$1,251 Vol.
31%
Brian Campbell
$1,002 Vol.
30%
Ben Kern
$925 Vol.
30%
William Mouw
$100 Vol.
30%
Mikael Lindberg
$0 Vol.
28%
Hideki Matsuyama
$4,256 Vol.
36%
Max Greyserman
$46 Vol.
22%
Bud Cauley
$208 Vol.
25%
Chris Kirk
$1,013 Vol.
20%
Rickie Fowler
$2,739 Vol.
19%
Sam Burns
$1,236 Vol.
15%
Brooks Koepka
$4,585 Vol.
15%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$0 Vol.
11%
Michael Kim
$192 Vol.
10%
Si Woo Kim
$278 Vol.
10%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$650 Vol.
10%
Martin Kaymer
$51 Vol.
10%
Chandler Blanchet
$670 Vol.
8%
Michael Brennan
$438 Vol.
6%
Ryan Gerard
$618 Vol.
6%
Patrick Cantlay
$147 Vol.
6%
Rico Hoey
$87 Vol.
6%
Dustin Johnson
$0 Vol.
6%
Shane Lowry
$530 Vol.
6%
Daniel Berger
$0 Vol.
5%
Stephan Jaeger
$227 Vol.
5%
Denny McCarthy
$5 Vol.
5%
Ryan Fox
$16 Vol.
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
$122 Vol.
5%
Keith Mitchell
$60 Vol.
5%
Brian Harman
$42 Vol.
11%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$418 Vol.
4%
Jason Day
$465 Vol.
3%
Collin Morikawa
$1,194 Vol.
3%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$1,223 Vol.
1%
Casey Jarvis
$150 Vol.
1%
Luke Donald
$275 Vol.
1%
Kazuki Higa
$172 Vol.
1%
Daniel Brown
$242 Vol.
<1%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
$4,711 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$426 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).With 22 players within four shots of Alex Smalley's two-stroke lead after 54 holes at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features the deepest leaderboard in tournament history. Smalley's strong third-round 68 has positioned him for a potential first major title, yet Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler remain within realistic striking distance. Course conditions favoring accurate approach play and steady putting will reward consistent ball-strikers over the final 18 holes, while any late collapses or hot streaks among the large chasing pack could dramatically reshape the top-10 picture before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$111,370End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).With 22 players within four shots of Alex Smalley's two-stroke lead after 54 holes at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features the deepest leaderboard in tournament history. Smalley's strong third-round 68 has positioned him for a potential first major title, yet Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler remain within realistic striking distance. Course conditions favoring accurate approach play and steady putting will reward consistent ball-strikers over the final 18 holes, while any late collapses or hot streaks among the large chasing pack could dramatically reshape the top-10 picture before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$111,370End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
With 22 players within four shots of Alex Smalley's two-stroke lead after 54 holes at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features the deepest leaderboard in tournament history. Smalley's strong third-round 68 has positioned him for a potential first major title, yet Jon Rahm, Ludvig Åberg, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler remain within realistic striking distance. Course conditions favoring accurate approach play and steady putting will reward consistent ball-strikers over the final 18 holes, while any late collapses or hot streaks among the large chasing pack could dramatically reshape the top-10 picture before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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