Entering the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, a tightly bunched leaderboard with Alex Smalley holding a two-stroke lead and more than 20 players within four shots creates high volatility for top-20 outcomes. Recent rounds have featured frequent lead changes and variable scoring conditions on the par-70 layout, rewarding players with strong ball-striking and putting under pressure. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler and other top-ranked contenders like Rory McIlroy remain in contention despite mixed recent form, while late surges from mid-tier golfers could shift positioning dramatically on Sunday. Final-round execution, paired with the field’s depth, will largely dictate which golfers secure top-20 finishes in this stroke-play major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$124,127 Vol.
Kurt Kitayama
99%
Johnny Keefer
98%
Hao-Tong Li
97%
Harris English
96%
Rory McIlroy
94%
Matt Fitzpatrick
90%
Ben Griffin
85%
Stephan Jaeger
80%
Chris Gotterup
85%
Max Greyserman
65%
Maverick McNealy
59%
Pádraig Harrington
49%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Bud Cauley
38%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
30%
Daniel Hillier
27%
Brooks Koepka
24%
Sam Burns
22%
Martin Kaymer
20%
Dustin Johnson
15%
Rico Hoey
12%
Hideki Matsuyama
11%
Rickie Fowler
10%
Ryan Fox
10%
Si Woo Kim
10%
Brian Harman
9%
Nicolai Hojgaard
9%
Patrick Cantlay
8%
Michael Kim
8%
Ryo Hisatsune
6%
Shane Lowry
6%
Denny McCarthy
6%
Chandler Blanchet
5%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
5%
Chris Kirk
5%
Mikael Lindberg
5%
Daniel Berger
3%
Luke Donald
3%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Kazuki Higa
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Ben Kern
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
$124,127 Vol.
Kurt Kitayama
99%
Johnny Keefer
98%
Hao-Tong Li
97%
Harris English
96%
Rory McIlroy
94%
Matt Fitzpatrick
90%
Ben Griffin
85%
Stephan Jaeger
80%
Chris Gotterup
85%
Max Greyserman
65%
Maverick McNealy
59%
Pádraig Harrington
49%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Bud Cauley
38%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
30%
Daniel Hillier
27%
Brooks Koepka
24%
Sam Burns
22%
Martin Kaymer
20%
Dustin Johnson
15%
Rico Hoey
12%
Hideki Matsuyama
11%
Rickie Fowler
10%
Ryan Fox
10%
Si Woo Kim
10%
Brian Harman
9%
Nicolai Hojgaard
9%
Patrick Cantlay
8%
Michael Kim
8%
Ryo Hisatsune
6%
Shane Lowry
6%
Denny McCarthy
6%
Chandler Blanchet
5%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
5%
Chris Kirk
5%
Mikael Lindberg
5%
Daniel Berger
3%
Luke Donald
3%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Kazuki Higa
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Ben Kern
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Entering the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, a tightly bunched leaderboard with Alex Smalley holding a two-stroke lead and more than 20 players within four shots creates high volatility for top-20 outcomes. Recent rounds have featured frequent lead changes and variable scoring conditions on the par-70 layout, rewarding players with strong ball-striking and putting under pressure. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler and other top-ranked contenders like Rory McIlroy remain in contention despite mixed recent form, while late surges from mid-tier golfers could shift positioning dramatically on Sunday. Final-round execution, paired with the field’s depth, will largely dictate which golfers secure top-20 finishes in this stroke-play major.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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