Recent leaderboard volatility at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club has reshaped trader sentiment around top-20 probabilities, with Cameron Young’s red-hot form—two victories and a Masters T-3 in his prior five starts—positioning him as a strong favorite to contend through the weekend. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler’s precise ball-striking remains a key asset on the Donald Ross layout, though Rory McIlroy’s toe blister and several players’ proximity to the projected cut line add uncertainty for weekend surges. Recent second-round scoring, including strong showings from Chris Gotterup and co-leaders like Alex Smalley, has driven sharp repricing in prediction markets as traders weigh cut survival, rest advantages, and historical course fits against current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$130,308 Vol.
Ben Griffin
85%
Chris Gotterup
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Kurt Kitayama
99%
Max Greyserman
98%
Hao-Tong Li
97%
Rory McIlroy
89%
Harris English
87%
Maverick McNealy
83%
Pádraig Harrington
51%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
30%
Daniel Hillier
27%
Sam Burns
20%
Hideki Matsuyama
16%
Ryan Fox
10%
Si Woo Kim
10%
Patrick Cantlay
8%
Rico Hoey
7%
Brian Harman
6%
Bud Cauley
6%
Chris Kirk
3%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Luke Donald
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Kazuki Higa
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Martin Kaymer
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Ben Kern
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Mikael Lindberg
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Stephan Jaeger
44%
Min Woo Lee
63%
$130,308 Vol.
Ben Griffin
85%
Chris Gotterup
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Kurt Kitayama
99%
Max Greyserman
98%
Hao-Tong Li
97%
Rory McIlroy
89%
Harris English
87%
Maverick McNealy
83%
Pádraig Harrington
51%
Kota Yuta Kaneko
30%
Daniel Hillier
27%
Sam Burns
20%
Hideki Matsuyama
16%
Ryan Fox
10%
Si Woo Kim
10%
Patrick Cantlay
8%
Rico Hoey
7%
Brian Harman
6%
Bud Cauley
6%
Chris Kirk
3%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Chandler Blanchet
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Luke Donald
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Kazuki Higa
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Casey Jarvis
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Martin Kaymer
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Ben Kern
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Mikael Lindberg
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Stephan Jaeger
44%
Min Woo Lee
63%
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent leaderboard volatility at the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club has reshaped trader sentiment around top-20 probabilities, with Cameron Young’s red-hot form—two victories and a Masters T-3 in his prior five starts—positioning him as a strong favorite to contend through the weekend. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler’s precise ball-striking remains a key asset on the Donald Ross layout, though Rory McIlroy’s toe blister and several players’ proximity to the projected cut line add uncertainty for weekend surges. Recent second-round scoring, including strong showings from Chris Gotterup and co-leaders like Alex Smalley, has driven sharp repricing in prediction markets as traders weigh cut survival, rest advantages, and historical course fits against current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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