Aryna Sabalenka’s lower back and hip issue, which forced an early exit from the Italian Open after losses in Madrid and Rome, has tempered trader expectations for the world No. 1 heading into the clay-court major. Iga Świątek maintains the highest implied probability due to her proven record on terre battue, including multiple Roland Garros titles and strong recent form. Coco Gauff’s 2025 final victory and consistent results add weight to her position, while emerging talents like Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva benefit from solid head-to-head trends and physical readiness. The bunched pricing among the top contenders reflects a wide-open field shaped by injury uncertainty, surface-specific strengths, and recent tournament momentum ahead of the May 24 start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Świątek 30%
Aryna Sabalenka 23%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 9.6%
$2,833,878 Vol.
$2,833,878 Vol.
Iga Świątek
30%
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
10%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elina Svitolina
6%
Marta Kostyuk
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Anastasia Potapova
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Linda Nosková
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Karolína Plíšková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Iga Świątek 30%
Aryna Sabalenka 23%
Coco Gauff 11%
Elena Rybakina 9.6%
$2,833,878 Vol.
$2,833,878 Vol.
Iga Świątek
30%
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Coco Gauff
11%
Elena Rybakina
10%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elina Svitolina
6%
Marta Kostyuk
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Anastasia Potapova
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Linda Nosková
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Karolína Plíšková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka’s lower back and hip issue, which forced an early exit from the Italian Open after losses in Madrid and Rome, has tempered trader expectations for the world No. 1 heading into the clay-court major. Iga Świątek maintains the highest implied probability due to her proven record on terre battue, including multiple Roland Garros titles and strong recent form. Coco Gauff’s 2025 final victory and consistent results add weight to her position, while emerging talents like Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva benefit from solid head-to-head trends and physical readiness. The bunched pricing among the top contenders reflects a wide-open field shaped by injury uncertainty, surface-specific strengths, and recent tournament momentum ahead of the May 24 start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions