A wave of injuries and illnesses has transformed the 2026 Roland Garros women's singles into a wide-open affair, with trader consensus pricing no clear favorite as Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova share 45.5% implied probabilities amid a tightly bunched top tier. Swiatek's recent tearful retirement from Madrid due to a virus has traders doubting her clay dominance, dropping her to 16%, while defending champion Gauff sits at 15% amid a chaotic WTA clay swing featuring withdrawals like Badosa and Anisimova's wrist issue. Keys impressed with a comeback win in Rome, Muchova looks sharp post-injury on her favored surface, rising teen Victoria Mboko builds on her 2025 breakout with strong recent results, and Clara Tauson maintains steady form, fueling the competitive dynamics keeping probabilities razor-thin at 43-45.5% across the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Women’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
2026 Women’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
Naomi Osaka 94%
Elina Svitolina 92%
Karolina Muchova 92%
Victoria Mboko 92%
Naomi Osaka
94%
Elina Svitolina
92%
Karolina Muchova
92%
Victoria Mboko
92%
Jasmine Paolini
91%
Clara Tauson
89%
Madison Keys
79%
Linda Noskova
78%
Diana Shnaider
71%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
64%
Elise Mertens
64%
Elena Rybakina
28%
Iga Swiatek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Belinda Bencic
19%
Amanda Anisimova
19%
Jessica Pegula
15%
Coco Gauff
15%
Iva Jovic
12%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
Naomi Osaka 94%
Elina Svitolina 92%
Karolina Muchova 92%
Victoria Mboko 92%
Naomi Osaka
94%
Elina Svitolina
92%
Karolina Muchova
92%
Victoria Mboko
92%
Jasmine Paolini
91%
Clara Tauson
89%
Madison Keys
79%
Linda Noskova
78%
Diana Shnaider
71%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
64%
Elise Mertens
64%
Elena Rybakina
28%
Iga Swiatek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Belinda Bencic
19%
Amanda Anisimova
19%
Jessica Pegula
15%
Coco Gauff
15%
Iva Jovic
12%
Mirra Andreeva
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Roland Garros Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A wave of injuries and illnesses has transformed the 2026 Roland Garros women's singles into a wide-open affair, with trader consensus pricing no clear favorite as Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova share 45.5% implied probabilities amid a tightly bunched top tier. Swiatek's recent tearful retirement from Madrid due to a virus has traders doubting her clay dominance, dropping her to 16%, while defending champion Gauff sits at 15% amid a chaotic WTA clay swing featuring withdrawals like Badosa and Anisimova's wrist issue. Keys impressed with a comeback win in Rome, Muchova looks sharp post-injury on her favored surface, rising teen Victoria Mboko builds on her 2025 breakout with strong recent results, and Clara Tauson maintains steady form, fueling the competitive dynamics keeping probabilities razor-thin at 43-45.5% across the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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