Amazon’s 2026 capital expenditures are being driven primarily by AWS’s accelerated AI infrastructure buildout amid demand that continues to exceed available capacity. Management raised full-year guidance to approximately $220 billion in late July, up from the $200 billion figure set in February, citing higher memory costs while noting that even this level would leave the company short of meeting contracted customer needs through 2027. Quarterly cash capex reached $53–54 billion in Q2 alone, contributing to a trailing twelve-month total near $173 billion and turning free cash flow negative. AWS revenue grew 37% year-over-year to $42.2 billion with a $496 billion backlog, supporting management’s view that server and data-center investments generate strong returns once monetized. Q3 earnings and any further guidance updates remain key near-term catalysts for assessing whether spending will track or exceed the revised target.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$23,511 Vol.
$170 billion
99%
$180 billion
96%
$190 billion
96%
$200 billion
92%
$210 billion
76%
$220 billion
66%
$23,511 Vol.
$170 billion
99%
$180 billion
96%
$190 billion
96%
$200 billion
92%
$210 billion
76%
$220 billion
66%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon’s 2026 capital expenditures are being driven primarily by AWS’s accelerated AI infrastructure buildout amid demand that continues to exceed available capacity. Management raised full-year guidance to approximately $220 billion in late July, up from the $200 billion figure set in February, citing higher memory costs while noting that even this level would leave the company short of meeting contracted customer needs through 2027. Quarterly cash capex reached $53–54 billion in Q2 alone, contributing to a trailing twelve-month total near $173 billion and turning free cash flow negative. AWS revenue grew 37% year-over-year to $42.2 billion with a $496 billion backlog, supporting management’s view that server and data-center investments generate strong returns once monetized. Q3 earnings and any further guidance updates remain key near-term catalysts for assessing whether spending will track or exceed the revised target.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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