Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential S-1 filing targeting an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 38% and 25% implied probabilities on the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets. Traders cite the company's rapid revenue scaling—run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion amid Claude large language model adoption and enterprise demand—as evidence of momentum that could support a premium public valuation in the competitive AI landscape. While historical AI listings show volatility and potential delays from market conditions or regulatory scrutiny remain risks, the skin-in-the-game consensus reflects optimism around Anthropic's positioning ahead of peers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 38%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 20.9%
0.9–1.2T 7.6%
$268,143 Vol.
$268,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
8%
1.2–1.5T
13%
1.5–1.8T
25%
1.8T+
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
1.8T+ 38%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 20.9%
0.9–1.2T 7.6%
$268,143 Vol.
$268,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$16,923 Vol.
3%
0.6–0.9T
$22,239 Vol.
3%
0.9–1.2T
$20,746 Vol.
8%
1.2–1.5T
$21,970 Vol.
13%
1.5–1.8T
$23,757 Vol.
25%
1.8T+
$121,514 Vol.
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$40,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential S-1 filing targeting an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 38% and 25% implied probabilities on the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets. Traders cite the company's rapid revenue scaling—run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion amid Claude large language model adoption and enterprise demand—as evidence of momentum that could support a premium public valuation in the competitive AI landscape. While historical AI listings show volatility and potential delays from market conditions or regulatory scrutiny remain risks, the skin-in-the-game consensus reflects optimism around Anthropic's positioning ahead of peers.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$268,143End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential S-1 filing targeting an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 38% and 25% implied probabilities on the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets. Traders cite the company's rapid revenue scaling—run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion amid Claude large language model adoption and enterprise demand—as evidence of momentum that could support a premium public valuation in the competitive AI landscape. While historical AI listings show volatility and potential delays from market conditions or regulatory scrutiny remain risks, the skin-in-the-game consensus reflects optimism around Anthropic's positioning ahead of peers.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$268,143End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential S-1 filing targeting an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 38% and 25% implied probabilities on the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets. Traders cite the company's rapid revenue scaling—run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion amid Claude large language model adoption and enterprise demand—as evidence of momentum that could support a premium public valuation in the competitive AI landscape. While historical AI listings show volatility and potential delays from market conditions or regulatory scrutiny remain risks, the skin-in-the-game consensus reflects optimism around Anthropic's positioning ahead of peers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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