Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO, with an 87.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive secondary market valuations surpassing $1 trillion in recent weeks—up over 900% since late 2025—on platforms like Jupiter, far exceeding the $380 billion post-money valuation from its February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round. Preemptive investor offers for a potential $50 billion raise at $850–950 billion underscore frontier model leadership with Claude large language models, enterprise adoption, and revenue hypergrowth exceeding 10,000%. A 10.5% chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects timing uncertainties amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed amid AI boom momentum; watch for S-1 filing or October 2026 listing catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.7%
300–400B <1%
$295,619 Vol.
$295,619 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%
600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.7%
300–400B <1%
$295,619 Vol.
$295,619 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$137,985 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$52,944 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,669 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$59,898 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$8,929 Vol.
2%
600B+
$14,966 Vol.
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,226 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO, with an 87.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive secondary market valuations surpassing $1 trillion in recent weeks—up over 900% since late 2025—on platforms like Jupiter, far exceeding the $380 billion post-money valuation from its February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round. Preemptive investor offers for a potential $50 billion raise at $850–950 billion underscore frontier model leadership with Claude large language models, enterprise adoption, and revenue hypergrowth exceeding 10,000%. A 10.5% chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects timing uncertainties amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed amid AI boom momentum; watch for S-1 filing or October 2026 listing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$295,619End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO, with an 87.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive secondary market valuations surpassing $1 trillion in recent weeks—up over 900% since late 2025—on platforms like Jupiter, far exceeding the $380 billion post-money valuation from its February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round. Preemptive investor offers for a potential $50 billion raise at $850–950 billion underscore frontier model leadership with Claude large language models, enterprise adoption, and revenue hypergrowth exceeding 10,000%. A 10.5% chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects timing uncertainties amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed amid AI boom momentum; watch for S-1 filing or October 2026 listing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$295,619End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's anticipated IPO, with an 87.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive secondary market valuations surpassing $1 trillion in recent weeks—up over 900% since late 2025—on platforms like Jupiter, far exceeding the $380 billion post-money valuation from its February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round. Preemptive investor offers for a potential $50 billion raise at $850–950 billion underscore frontier model leadership with Claude large language models, enterprise adoption, and revenue hypergrowth exceeding 10,000%. A 10.5% chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects timing uncertainties amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility, with lower brackets dismissed amid AI boom momentum; watch for S-1 filing or October 2026 listing catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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