Strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s IPO closing above $1.8 trillion reflects the company’s rapid scaling of its Claude large language models and associated revenue surge. Annualized run-rate revenue climbed from roughly $47 billion in May 2026 to over $65 billion by July, with projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, supporting banker discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise. The confidential S-1 filed in June, ongoing roadshow preparations with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, and a timeline shift toward November to incorporate third-quarter results have reinforced expectations of a near-term listing that would eclipse recent AI and tech debuts. Upcoming catalysts include the public S-1 release and final pricing amid intense competition in the AI sector.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 84%
1.5–1.8T 9.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.4%
1.2–1.5T 3.0%
$460,400 Vol.
$460,400 Vol.
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
84%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 84%
1.5–1.8T 9.1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.4%
1.2–1.5T 3.0%
$460,400 Vol.
$460,400 Vol.
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
84%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around Anthropic’s IPO closing above $1.8 trillion reflects the company’s rapid scaling of its Claude large language models and associated revenue surge. Annualized run-rate revenue climbed from roughly $47 billion in May 2026 to over $65 billion by July, with projections exceeding $100 billion by year-end, supporting banker discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise. The confidential S-1 filed in June, ongoing roadshow preparations with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, and a timeline shift toward November to incorporate third-quarter results have reinforced expectations of a near-term listing that would eclipse recent AI and tech debuts. Upcoming catalysts include the public S-1 release and final pricing amid intense competition in the AI sector.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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