Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,514 on the wholesale market, faces continued upward pressure through year-end from the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band, which adjusts the ceiling with a two-month lag. Monthly inflation averaging around 1.6–2.2% in recent quarters implies further nominal depreciation even as the administration maintains a relatively strong peso to anchor expectations. This policy mix, alongside reserve accumulation and fiscal surplus targets, has kept the rate stable near current levels but supports trader consensus for a move above 1,600 by December amid ongoing relative-price adjustments and modest projected growth headwinds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints and any BCRA band revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+ 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.3%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
10%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00+
77%
1600.00+ 78%
1500.00–1549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.3%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
2%
1300.00–1349.99
3%
1350.00–1399.99
3%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
10%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00+
77%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,514 on the wholesale market, faces continued upward pressure through year-end from the BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band, which adjusts the ceiling with a two-month lag. Monthly inflation averaging around 1.6–2.2% in recent quarters implies further nominal depreciation even as the administration maintains a relatively strong peso to anchor expectations. This policy mix, alongside reserve accumulation and fiscal surplus targets, has kept the rate stable near current levels but supports trader consensus for a move above 1,600 by December amid ongoing relative-price adjustments and modest projected growth headwinds. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints and any BCRA band revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions