Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,508–1,530 as of early September 2026, trades within a widening inflation-indexed crawling band that has supported reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets and kept the blue-dollar gap below 1%. Trader consensus in the leading <1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets reflects sustained fiscal surpluses, BCRA daily FX purchases, and monthly inflation readings near 2% that point to end-2026 inflation around 25–30%. Market pricing embeds a modest 1.7% monthly crawl through December, consistent with analyst surveys expecting the rate near 1,610. Recent stability in Treasury yields and reduced devaluation risk premia reinforce the view that abrupt jumps remain unlikely absent external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,722 Vol.
$21,722 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
24%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
9%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
3%
$21,722 Vol.
$21,722 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,465 Vol.
43%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,025 Vol.
24%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,198 Vol.
9%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,697 Vol.
9%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,576 Vol.
1%
2000.00+
$1,762 Vol.
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,508–1,530 as of early September 2026, trades within a widening inflation-indexed crawling band that has supported reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets and kept the blue-dollar gap below 1%. Trader consensus in the leading <1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets reflects sustained fiscal surpluses, BCRA daily FX purchases, and monthly inflation readings near 2% that point to end-2026 inflation around 25–30%. Market pricing embeds a modest 1.7% monthly crawl through December, consistent with analyst surveys expecting the rate near 1,610. Recent stability in Treasury yields and reduced devaluation risk premia reinforce the view that abrupt jumps remain unlikely absent external shocks.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,722End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,508–1,530 as of early September 2026, trades within a widening inflation-indexed crawling band that has supported reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets and kept the blue-dollar gap below 1%. Trader consensus in the leading <1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets reflects sustained fiscal surpluses, BCRA daily FX purchases, and monthly inflation readings near 2% that point to end-2026 inflation around 25–30%. Market pricing embeds a modest 1.7% monthly crawl through December, consistent with analyst surveys expecting the rate near 1,610. Recent stability in Treasury yields and reduced devaluation risk premia reinforce the view that abrupt jumps remain unlikely absent external shocks.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,722End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,508–1,530 as of early September 2026, trades within a widening inflation-indexed crawling band that has supported reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets and kept the blue-dollar gap below 1%. Trader consensus in the leading <1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets reflects sustained fiscal surpluses, BCRA daily FX purchases, and monthly inflation readings near 2% that point to end-2026 inflation around 25–30%. Market pricing embeds a modest 1.7% monthly crawl through December, consistent with analyst surveys expecting the rate near 1,610. Recent stability in Treasury yields and reduced devaluation risk premia reinforce the view that abrupt jumps remain unlikely absent external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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