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icon for ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner

ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner

icon for ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner

ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner

Ben Shelton 100.0%

Tommy Paul 6.7%

Frances Tiafoe 4.9%

Rinky Hijikata 4.8%

Polymarket

$248,977 Vol.

Ben Shelton 100.0%

Tommy Paul 6.7%

Frances Tiafoe 4.9%

Rinky Hijikata 4.8%

Polymarket

$248,977 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$715 Vol.

No

Alexander Zverev

$24,197 Vol.

No

Daniil Medvedev

$3,314 Vol.

No

Hubert Hurkacz

$346 Vol.

No

Andrey Rublev

$797 Vol.

No

Casper Ruud

$3,157 Vol.

No

Grigor Dimitrov

$5,216 Vol.

No

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$160 Vol.

No

Taylor Fritz

$2,953 Vol.

No

Tommy Paul

$3,110 Vol.

No

Ben Shelton

$48,507 Vol.

Yes

Ugo Humbert

$776 Vol.

No

Holger Rune

$66 Vol.

No

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$12,911 Vol.

No

Alejandro Tabilo

$160 Vol.

No

Karen Khachanov

$160 Vol.

No

Sebastian Korda

$66 Vol.

No

Arthur Fils

$12,462 Vol.

No

Nicolas Jarry

$160 Vol.

No

Alexander Bublik

$230 Vol.

No

Jack Draper

$230 Vol.

No

Tallon Griekspoor

$1,118 Vol.

No

Frances Tiafoe

$503 Vol.

No

Gael Monfils

$160 Vol.

No

Adrian Mannarino

$160 Vol.

No

Jordan Thompson

$160 Vol.

No

Luciano Darderi

$5,799 Vol.

No

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$160 Vol.

No

Mariano Navone

$316 Vol.

No

Marcos Giron

$160 Vol.

No

Tomas Machac

$66 Vol.

No

Pedro Martinez

$176 Vol.

No

Nuno Borges

$4,134 Vol.

No

Rinky Hijikata

$136 Vol.

No

Jakub Mensik

$4,728 Vol.

No

Christopher O'Connell

$176 Vol.

No

Daniel Altmaier

$160 Vol.

No

Rafael Jodar

$68,290 Vol.

No

Learner Tien

$10,078 Vol.

No

Jiri Lehecka

$2,026 Vol.

No

Lorenzo Musetti

$0 Vol.

No

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$166 Vol.

No

Matteo Arnaldi

$394 Vol.

No

Cameron Norrie

$1,359 Vol.

No

Fabian Marozsan

$176 Vol.

No

Flavio Cobolli

$468 Vol.

No

Miomir Kecmanovic

$160 Vol.

No

Lorenzo Sonego

$160 Vol.

No

Alex Michelsen

$379 Vol.

No

Alexei Popyrin

$77 Vol.

No

Roman Safiullin

$5,701 Vol.

No

Denis Shapovalov

$160 Vol.

No

Gabriel Diallo

$60 Vol.

No

Milos Raonic

$156 Vol.

No

Kei Nishikori

$160 Vol.

No

Vasek Pospisil

$160 Vol.

No

Pablo Carreno Busta

$160 Vol.

No

Dusan Lajovic

$176 Vol.

No

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

$160 Vol.

No

Corentin Moutet

$176 Vol.

No

Jaume Munar

$160 Vol.

No

Roberto Carballes Baena

$160 Vol.

No

Brandon Nakashima

$17,460 Vol.

No

Dominik Koepfer

$160 Vol.

No

Facundo Diaz Acosta

$160 Vol.

No

Max Purcell

$226 Vol.

No

Aleksandar Vukic

$191 Vol.

No

Marton Fucsovics

$236 Vol.

No

Hugo Gaston

$176 Vol.

No

Federico Coria

$176 Vol.

No

Sumit Nagal

$206 Vol.

No

Thiago Seyboth Wild

$160 Vol.

No

Arthur Rinderknech

$891 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.Ben Shelton's position as the prohibitive favorite in the ATP 1000 Montreal winner market stems from his status as defending champion and an undefeated run through the draw on hard courts, including straight-sets semifinal and quarterfinal victories with minimal break points conceded and elite first-serve percentages. Recent results highlight his strong form, experience in Masters 1000 finals, and favorable matchup against Brandon Nakashima in the all-American championship match. The wisdom of crowds reflected in near-certain implied probability accounts for Shelton's consistent recent performances and the challenger's relative lack of title-winning pedigree at this level. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected late injury withdrawal, weather-related delays affecting play, or a significant form dip on match day, though such developments remain low-probability given confirmed lineups and current conditions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.
Volume
$248,977
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.Ben Shelton's position as the prohibitive favorite in the ATP 1000 Montreal winner market stems from his status as defending champion and an undefeated run through the draw on hard courts, including straight-sets semifinal and quarterfinal victories with minimal break points conceded and elite first-serve percentages. Recent results highlight his strong form, experience in Masters 1000 finals, and favorable matchup against Brandon Nakashima in the all-American championship match. The wisdom of crowds reflected in near-certain implied probability accounts for Shelton's consistent recent performances and the challenger's relative lack of title-winning pedigree at this level. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected late injury withdrawal, weather-related delays affecting play, or a significant form dip on match day, though such developments remain low-probability given confirmed lineups and current conditions.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.
Volume
$248,977
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 National Bank Open (ATP Masters 1000, Montreal), currently scheduled for August 2 – August 13, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the ATP Tour.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 73+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 100%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner" has generated $249K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner," browse the 73+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner" is "Ben Shelton" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ATP 1000 Montreal: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.