The trader consensus favoring no change at the Bank of Israel's July monetary policy decision reflects the committee's data-dependent stance after holding the benchmark rate at 4% in March amid energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict. Inflation has remained near the 2% midpoint of the 1–3% target, with 2026 forecasts stable around 2.2% and one-year expectations anchored inside the range despite a modest uptick in global oil costs. The Monetary Committee's updated growth outlook of 3.8% for 2026, combined with a tight labor market and resilient shekel, supports a pause following any potential May adjustment while leaving room for further easing if incoming CPI and activity data moderate. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on the path, yet recent stabilization in financial variables has kept the probability of a hike negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 63%
Decrease 41%
Increase 2.1%
Decrease
45%
No Change
63%
Increase
2%
No Change 63%
Decrease 41%
Increase 2.1%
Decrease
45%
No Change
63%
Increase
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The trader consensus favoring no change at the Bank of Israel's July monetary policy decision reflects the committee's data-dependent stance after holding the benchmark rate at 4% in March amid energy-price pressures from the Iran conflict. Inflation has remained near the 2% midpoint of the 1–3% target, with 2026 forecasts stable around 2.2% and one-year expectations anchored inside the range despite a modest uptick in global oil costs. The Monetary Committee's updated growth outlook of 3.8% for 2026, combined with a tight labor market and resilient shekel, supports a pause following any potential May adjustment while leaving room for further easing if incoming CPI and activity data moderate. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on the path, yet recent stabilization in financial variables has kept the probability of a hike negligible.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions