Skip to main content
icon for Bank of Israel Decision in May?
Economy·Interest Rate

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

icon for Bank of Israel Decision in May?
Economy·Interest Rate

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

May 25

Jul 6

May 25

Jul 6

Decrease 74%

No Change 21%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$41,663 Vol.

Decrease 74%

No Change 21%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$41,663 Vol.

Decrease

$12,444 Vol.

74%

No Change

$21,145 Vol.

26%

Increase

$8,074 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on the Bank of Israel’s May 25 decision assigns a 68.5 percent implied probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut, reflecting the Monetary Committee’s established easing bias after January’s reductions brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent. Subdued inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 remain well within the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, while recent ceasefire developments in the Iran conflict have stabilized one-year inflation expectations near 1.5–2.0 percent and prompted Israeli banks to lower deposit rates in anticipation. The March 30 hold served as a data-driven pause amid earlier energy-price pressures rather than a policy reversal. With April CPI data imminent and updated growth projections likely supporting a measured path toward 3.5 percent, markets price in resumption of gradual easing at the upcoming meeting.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$41,663
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on the Bank of Israel’s May 25 decision assigns a 68.5 percent implied probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut, reflecting the Monetary Committee’s established easing bias after January’s reductions brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent. Subdued inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 remain well within the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, while recent ceasefire developments in the Iran conflict have stabilized one-year inflation expectations near 1.5–2.0 percent and prompted Israeli banks to lower deposit rates in anticipation. The March 30 hold served as a data-driven pause amid earlier energy-price pressures rather than a policy reversal. With April CPI data imminent and updated growth projections likely supporting a measured path toward 3.5 percent, markets price in resumption of gradual easing at the upcoming meeting.

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$41,663
End Date
May 25, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Related

icon for Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?

98%
icon for Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

93%
icon for Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?

87%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Israel Decision in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Decrease" at 74%, followed by "No Change" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" has generated $41.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Israel Decision in May?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" is "Decrease" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Change" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Israel Decision in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.