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icon for Bank of Russia decision in October?
Economy·Macro

Bank of Russia decision in October?

icon for Bank of Russia decision in October?
Economy·Macro

Bank of Russia decision in October?

Oct 23

Dec 18

Oct 23

Dec 18

No Change 73%

Decrease 26%

Increase 3.1%

Polymarket

$37,671 Vol.

No Change 73%

Decrease 26%

Increase 3.1%

Polymarket

$37,671 Vol.

Decrease

$11,130 Vol.

26%

No Change

$13,606 Vol.

73%

Increase

$12,935 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing a rise to 6.3% in August, combined with accelerated underlying price pressures from temporary fuel supply constraints tied to refinery disruptions, prompted the Bank of Russia to pause its easing cycle and hold the key rate at 14% on September 11. Moderately growing economic activity, elevated inflation expectations, and fiscal policy uncertainties ahead of updated budget projections have reinforced pro-inflationary risks, leading traders to price a high probability of no change at the October 23 meeting. Analysts’ surveys reflect a stable average rate outlook near 14.5% for 2026, with limited scope for further cuts until second-round effects subside and incoming data clarify the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$37,671
End Date
Oct 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing a rise to 6.3% in August, combined with accelerated underlying price pressures from temporary fuel supply constraints tied to refinery disruptions, prompted the Bank of Russia to pause its easing cycle and hold the key rate at 14% on September 11. Moderately growing economic activity, elevated inflation expectations, and fiscal policy uncertainties ahead of updated budget projections have reinforced pro-inflationary risks, leading traders to price a high probability of no change at the October 23 meeting. Analysts’ surveys reflect a stable average rate outlook near 14.5% for 2026, with limited scope for further cuts until second-round effects subside and incoming data clarify the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volume
$37,671
End Date
Oct 23, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Russia decision in October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 73%, followed by "Decrease" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Russia decision in October?" has generated $37.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Russia decision in October?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Russia decision in October?" is "No Change" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Russia decision in October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.