Bangladesh's 104-run victory in the first Test at Dhaka has handed them a 1-0 lead in the two-match series, yet trader consensus assigns Pakistan the highest probability at 50.5% to draw the series by winning the second Test now underway at Sylhet. Pakistan's greater depth in Test cricket, combined with Babar Azam's return and a more experienced pace attack that dismissed the openers cheaply on Day 1, underpins their edge despite Bangladesh's home conditions and recent red-ball momentum. Litton Das's unbeaten century has stabilized the hosts at 278, keeping the match finely balanced and supporting the 35.5% draw outcome, while Bangladesh's 17% chance reflects the historical difficulty of sweeping Pakistan in home conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espncricinfo.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bangladesh's 104-run victory in the first Test at Dhaka has handed them a 1-0 lead in the two-match series, yet trader consensus assigns Pakistan the highest probability at 50.5% to draw the series by winning the second Test now underway at Sylhet. Pakistan's greater depth in Test cricket, combined with Babar Azam's return and a more experienced pace attack that dismissed the openers cheaply on Day 1, underpins their edge despite Bangladesh's home conditions and recent red-ball momentum. Litton Das's unbeaten century has stabilized the hosts at 278, keeping the match finely balanced and supporting the 35.5% draw outcome, while Bangladesh's 17% chance reflects the historical difficulty of sweeping Pakistan in home conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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