In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoneyline
$468K Vol.
Map 1 Winner
$600K Vol.
Map Handicap
$9.0K Vol.
Total Maps
$40.7K Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...Odd/Even Total Kills
$70 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$150 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$50 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$0 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Moneyline
$468K Vol.
Map 1 Winner
$600K Vol.
Map Handicap
$9.0K Vol.
Total Maps
$40.7K Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$70 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$150 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$50 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Odd/Even Total Kills
$0 Vol.
Odd/Even Total Rounds
$0 Vol.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 3 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 2, or if Map 2 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the match, including any overtime rounds if applicable. For example, a match ending 13–11 would have a total of 24 rounds (even), while a match ending 13–10 would have a total of 23 rounds (odd).
If Map 1 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an odd number.
This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 1 is an even number.
"Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market.
If no kills are recorded in Map 1, or if Map 1 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If Map 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if MOUZ and Aurora Gaming play 3 or more maps in this series.
If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".
Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.
If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,118,634End Date
May 12, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://hltv.orgResolver
0x65070BE91...In the high-stakes Swiss round 4 at PGL Astana 2026 group stage, MOUZ (2-1 record) faces Aurora Gaming (2-1), with the winner advancing to playoffs in this $1.6M CS2 event's BO3 format. MOUZ, HLTV #11, rides momentum from 2-1 upsets over G2 and Gentle Mates despite a 1-2 loss to 9z, adapting well to recent roster tweaks—jL and xelex starting alongside xertioN as IGL after benching Jimpphat and Brollan three weeks ago—plus a dominant 2-0 head-to-head over Aurora at IEM Rio. Aurora counters with a two-match win streak (2-0 over PARIVISION and The Huns) post-HEORIC defeat, strong on their Dust2 pick (67% recent winrate), but inconsistent form tempers upset potential in this evenly matched elimination decider.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Counter-Strike 2 match between Aurora Gaming and MOUZ in the PGL, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This is a Best of 3 series. The primary market is the series moneyline — which team will win the match — where Aurora Gaming is currently priced at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). Beyond the series moneyline, esports markets on Polymarket may feature individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps, giving you multiple ways to trade on this match. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the match ends.
As of now, the “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume across all market types (series moneyline, individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.
To trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Series Moneyline (which team wins the match), Individual Map Winners (who wins a specific map in the series), Map Handicap (map-win margin), or Total Maps (over/under on the number of maps played). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows AUR1 at 0¢ and MOUZ at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the match ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the match ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current series moneyline odds for “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” show Aurora Gaming at 0¢ (0% implied probability) and MOUZ at 100¢ (100%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this match will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as match time approaches.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live odds tracker for the Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ match. The series moneyline, individual map winner, map handicap, and total maps odds all update in real-time as new trades come in. You can use the chart to track line movement as match time approaches — shifts in the odds often signal new information like roster changes, recent form, or sharp action from big traders. Check out Head to Head, Form Guide, and Map Winrate on certain matchups for deeper data and context. Bookmark this page, check the comments section to see what other traders are saying, and use the time-range filters on the chart to review how the odds have shifted. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to produce well-calibrated probabilities. With $1.1 million traded on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of active participants — similar to how traditional sportsbooks reflect sharp and public money, but in an open, transparent market anyone can participate in. Prediction markets have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution. For the latest stats, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ,” sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page and choose a market type — Series Moneyline, Individual Map Winners, Map Handicap, or Total Maps — select the side you want to trade (e.g., AUR1 or MOUZ on the moneyline), enter your amount, and click Trade. If you're new to prediction markets, click the “How it works” link at the top of any Polymarket page for a step-by-step walkthrough.
On Polymarket, the price of each side in a market represents the market's implied probability. A price of 0¢ for AUR1 on the series moneyline means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 0% chance that Aurora Gaming will win this match. If you buy AUR1 shares at 0¢ and they win, you receive $1 per share — a profit of 100¢ per share. If they lose, those shares are worth $0. The same logic applies to individual map winners, map handicaps, and total maps: a lower price means a higher potential payout but a lower implied probability of being correct.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” match is scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in the PGL. Trading remains open and odds will continue to shift as new information emerges leading up to the match. The market resolves once the series concludes and the official results are confirmed by the resolution source. The exact resolution timing depends on how many maps are played in the Best of 3 series.
The “Aurora Gaming vs. MOUZ” market has 7,170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate match outcomes, and discuss breaking developments like roster changes and recent form. Scroll down to the comments section to join the conversation. You can also check the Top Holders tab to see how the market's biggest traders are positioned, or view the Activity tab for a real-time feed of trades being placed.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and trade on real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes across politics, sports, crypto, finance, tech, culture, and esports — including tournaments and matches across League of Legends, CS2, Valorant, Dota 2, and more. Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by real money, offering a transparent, market-driven alternative to traditional odds sources. Whether you're a seasoned esports trader or just getting started, Polymarket lets you put your knowledge to work.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions