Tom Cruise's "Digger," an Alejandro G. Iñárritu-directed climate satire opening October 2, faces sharply revised tracking of $12-15 million amid weak presales and divided reviews hovering near 52% on Rotten Tomatoes. Earlier projections of $18-20 million or higher have fallen as marketing struggles to convey the film's premise and critics split between praise for Cruise's committed performance and pans for its heavy-handed satire. High production costs reportedly exceeding $160 million and competition from "Verity" further pressure the debut. Traders heavily favor sub-$17 million results because presale data and critical sentiment show limited mainstream appeal despite the star's promotion. An upset above $20 million would require unusually strong walk-up business or breakout word-of-mouth that overcomes current tracking signals.