The Dutch House of Representatives faces heightened coalition strain in the Jetten minority cabinet (D66-VVD-CDA, holding 66 of 150 seats), particularly after D66 and CDA secured opposition backing from PRO and Volt to pass the 2027 tax plan by a narrow 76-74 margin on November 12. VVD leaders condemned the deal as a breach of the coalition agreement and called for a fundamental reset, raising the prospect of cabinet collapse. However, parliament recently adopted a procedural motion requiring explicit debate on new government formation before defaulting to dissolution and snap elections. Incumbent parties face steep projected losses in fresh polls, creating strong incentives to explore restarts or temporary arrangements within the current term rather than trigger another vote before year-end. With regular elections set for 2030 and only weeks remaining in 2026, these dynamics underpin trader consensus against dissolution this year.