**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30). Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
<0.1 79%
>0.1 27%
0.1 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<0.1
83%
0.1
22%
>0.1
27%
<0.1 79%
>0.1 27%
0.1 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
<0.1
$100 Vol.
83%
0.1
$40 Vol.
22%
>0.1
$173 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30).
Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30).
Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flu activity follows strong seasonal patterns, with hospitalization rates typically reaching their annual minimum during summer months due to reduced transmission in warmer conditions and lower viral circulation.** Week 31 (August 2–8, 2026) falls squarely in this off-season period, when CDC FluSurv-NET data have consistently shown weekly rates at or below 0.1 per 100,000 population in recent comparable weeks (e.g., 0.1 in Week 21 and minimal activity reported through Week 29–30). Current surveillance indicates continued low influenza circulation nationally, with no atypical summer outbreaks or shifts in reporting that would elevate rates. Traders assign the highest implied probability (81.5%) to <0.1, reflecting this established climatological and epidemiological baseline; the lower probabilities for =0.1 (25.0%) or >0.1 (45.0%) align with the narrow historical range for summer weeks and the absence of near-term catalysts such as unusual variants or surveillance anomalies. Updated CDC FluView data for Week 31, expected shortly after resolution, will confirm the final rate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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