Uncertainty over H100 supply dynamics and sustained AI demand keeps Polymarket traders closely split, with the two leading price bands each at 29% implied probability. Hyperscalers and AI labs continue aggressive GPU procurement for training and inference workloads, while NVIDIA's production ramp and early Blackwell deployments introduce timing risks that could ease or tighten availability by late October. Energy costs, data-center buildouts, and secondary-market liquidity on platforms like Vast.ai further influence spot rental rates. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly updates and any shifts in enterprise capex for clearer signals on whether prices stabilize near current levels or diverge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
$3.00+ 12%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
26%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
12%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.75-$3.00 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
$3.00+ 12%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
26%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
29%
$3.00+
12%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty over H100 supply dynamics and sustained AI demand keeps Polymarket traders closely split, with the two leading price bands each at 29% implied probability. Hyperscalers and AI labs continue aggressive GPU procurement for training and inference workloads, while NVIDIA's production ramp and early Blackwell deployments introduce timing risks that could ease or tighten availability by late October. Energy costs, data-center buildouts, and secondary-market liquidity on platforms like Vast.ai further influence spot rental rates. Traders are watching upcoming quarterly updates and any shifts in enterprise capex for clearer signals on whether prices stabilize near current levels or diverge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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