**Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortages have driven H100 on-demand rental prices upward, with medians near $3.20–$3.37 per GPU-hour and notable jumps of 22% in the past month across providers like Vessl AI and platforms such as Ornn.** Cheapest verified rates sit around $1.30–$1.99 on marketplaces, while hyperscalers command premiums. Traders see the $2.50–$3.00 bin as most likely at year-end because Blackwell ramp-up is shifting some workloads to newer chips, yet overall compute needs remain elevated and H100 capacity stays tight for mid-tier inference and training. This keeps prices from collapsing below $2.50 despite the arrival of B200/B300 alternatives. Key near-term catalysts include further neocloud capacity releases and any easing in HBM production constraints by December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 35.4%
$2.00-$2.50 16.1%
$1.50-$2.00 13.0%
<$1.50 11.6%
$52,297 Vol.
$52,297 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
12%
$1.50-$2.00
13%
$2.00-$2.50
16%
$2.50-$3.00
35%
$3.00-$3.50
9%
$3.50-$4.00
11%
$4.00+
5%
$2.50-$3.00 35.4%
$2.00-$2.50 16.1%
$1.50-$2.00 13.0%
<$1.50 11.6%
$52,297 Vol.
$52,297 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.50
$1,440 Vol.
12%
$1.50-$2.00
$8,959 Vol.
13%
$2.00-$2.50
$16,072 Vol.
16%
$2.50-$3.00
$15,973 Vol.
35%
$3.00-$3.50
$6,187 Vol.
9%
$3.50-$4.00
$1,589 Vol.
11%
$4.00+
$2,077 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. **Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortages have driven H100 on-demand rental prices upward, with medians near $3.20–$3.37 per GPU-hour and notable jumps of 22% in the past month across providers like Vessl AI and platforms such as Ornn.** Cheapest verified rates sit around $1.30–$1.99 on marketplaces, while hyperscalers command premiums. Traders see the $2.50–$3.00 bin as most likely at year-end because Blackwell ramp-up is shifting some workloads to newer chips, yet overall compute needs remain elevated and H100 capacity stays tight for mid-tier inference and training. This keeps prices from collapsing below $2.50 despite the arrival of B200/B300 alternatives. Key near-term catalysts include further neocloud capacity releases and any easing in HBM production constraints by December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Volume
$52,297End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. **Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortages have driven H100 on-demand rental prices upward, with medians near $3.20–$3.37 per GPU-hour and notable jumps of 22% in the past month across providers like Vessl AI and platforms such as Ornn.** Cheapest verified rates sit around $1.30–$1.99 on marketplaces, while hyperscalers command premiums. Traders see the $2.50–$3.00 bin as most likely at year-end because Blackwell ramp-up is shifting some workloads to newer chips, yet overall compute needs remain elevated and H100 capacity stays tight for mid-tier inference and training. This keeps prices from collapsing below $2.50 despite the arrival of B200/B300 alternatives. Key near-term catalysts include further neocloud capacity releases and any easing in HBM production constraints by December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$52,297End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent AI demand surges and persistent supply constraints from high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortages have driven H100 on-demand rental prices upward, with medians near $3.20–$3.37 per GPU-hour and notable jumps of 22% in the past month across providers like Vessl AI and platforms such as Ornn.** Cheapest verified rates sit around $1.30–$1.99 on marketplaces, while hyperscalers command premiums. Traders see the $2.50–$3.00 bin as most likely at year-end because Blackwell ramp-up is shifting some workloads to newer chips, yet overall compute needs remain elevated and H100 capacity stays tight for mid-tier inference and training. This keeps prices from collapsing below $2.50 despite the arrival of B200/B300 alternatives. Key near-term catalysts include further neocloud capacity releases and any easing in HBM production constraints by December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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